Malaysia’s Exports Rise More Than Estimated as Commodities Climb
December 09, 2011, 11:50 AM EST
By Chinmei Sung
Dec. 9 (Bloomberg) -- Malaysia’s exports grew faster than economists estimated in October as sales of commodities and energy products surged, a pace that may ease as the threat of a global recession curbs demand in coming months.
Overseas shipments climbed 15.8 percent to a record 63.6 billion ringgit ($20 billion) from a year earlier after gaining 16.6 percent in September, according to a trade ministry statement today. The median estimate of 18 economists in a Bloomberg News survey was for a 7.3 percent gain.
Rising overseas sales and investment helped Malaysia’s growth accelerate in the third quarter as the Southeast Asian nation weathered the deepening European crisis. Australia, Thailand and Indonesia have in recent months lowered borrowing costs to shield their economies as the outlook for Asian exports wanes, with Malaysia reporting yesterday industrial output growth eased to 2.8 percent in October.
“The slowdown in global growth momentum is likely to weigh on Malaysia’s exports growth prospect,” Gundy Cahyadi, an economist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. in Singapore, said before the release. “Recent import data has signaled that domestic momentum may have weakened.”
Liquefied natural gas sales surged 82 percent, shipments of crude petroleum climbed 87 percent and palm oil gained 54.3 percent. Exports of electrical and electronics items fell 9 percent from a year earlier.
Malaysia’s imports rose 4.6 percent in October from a year earlier. The trade surplus widened to 13.22 billion ringgit from 9.63 billion ringgit in September.
--With assistance from Michael Munoz in Hong Kong. Editors: Stephanie Phang, Shamim Adam
Total trade hits RM1tril despite global slowdown
By Rupa Damodaran
bt@nstp.com.my
2011/12/10
Exports grew by 15.8 per cent, beating market expectations, while imports grew slower than expected at 4.6 per cent.
KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia’s total trade crossed the RM1 trillion mark at RM1.05 trillion for the first 10 months of the year, marking a strong achievement during challenging global trading environment.
The International Trade and Industry Ministry (Miti), in releasing the data yesterday, said exports in October recorded the highest monthly value at RM63.57 billion.
Exports grew by 15.8 per cent, beating market expectations, while imports grew slower than expected at 4.6 per cent. Total trade expanded by 10.6 per cent to RM113.91 billion during the month.
Its minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said the positive export performance made the six to seven per cent target for the ear “realisable”.
“Nonetheless, the ripple effect of the financial doldrums of the eurozone and the United States may hit Asia, and it is important for Malaysian manufacturers and exporters to be alert and be prepared for the challenges ahead,” Mustapa said.
Credit Suisse economist Wu Kun Lung said this was the fifth consecutive month that exports ad beaten the consensus forecast.
Strong commodity exports have enabled the trade surplus to widen to RM13.2 billion, up from RM9.6 billion in September.
According to Miti, the major contributors were chemicals and chemical products, the manufacture of metal and rubber products, which increased by 24.3per cent, 38.5 per cent and 23.7 per cent respectively.
The growth had offset the impact of the lower exports of electrical and electronic products, which declined by nine per cent.
Commodities, mainly liquefied natural gas, palm oil and crude and refined petroleum products, contributed 76.2 per cent to export growth in October.
In terms of markets, China topped the list, expanding by 37.1 per cent in October. Exports to Japan rose 29.6 per cent, mainly due to meeting post-tsunami and earthquake reconstruction needs and new demand arising from supply chain disruptions caused by floods in Thailand.
Malaysia's total trade to grow 88pc in 15 years
Business Times
2011/12/08
Malaysia trade outlook over the next 15 years is positive, with total trade expected to grow 88 per cent from US$325.3 billion from 2010 to US$552.8 billion in 2025.
HSBC Bank Malaysia Bhd trade and supply chain director Ng Wei Wei said the the country's merchandise trade volume in 2025 will account for 1.1 per cent of total global trade.
"Much of Malaysia's growth will be in commodities such as rubber, iron and steel and agricultural products," she told a news conference in KL yesterday.
Meanwhile, HSBC trade and supply chain regional head for Asia Pacific (ex Hong Kong and Macau) Simon Constantinides said world trade volumes are forecast to grow dramatically over the period, expanding 73 per cent by 2025.
He said intra-regional trade will become dominant with rapid expansion in exports and imports along South-South trade routes.
Key partners in Asia will help sustain strong growth in next 15 years
The Star
KUALA LUMPUR: While views have been that import-export markets are vulnerable to economic instability in the West, Malaysia's trade should trend upward, having key partners in Asia that would help sustain strong growth over the next 15 years.
Malaysia's trade is now dominated by five key players in Asia China, Singapore, Japan, Thailand and Indonesia with the first four achieving similar trade magnitude last year.
In HSBC Bank Malaysia Bhd's trade forecast quarterly update, it said trade with China would grow at an annualised rate of 6.35% by 2025, and with India at 6.29%. Trade with Latin America countries like Brazil, Argentina and Mexico would increase by 7.51%, 6.83% and 7.36% respectively.
Trade corridors with Qatar and Egypt looked promising as well, although their volumes are lowest at US$1.4bil and US$2.4bil.
Ng Wei Wei: ‘HSBC will remain bullish about the outlook of the country.’
In the next five years, Malaysia would have a trade growth of 5.1%, accounting for around 1.1% to 1.2% of world trade. By 2025, it would achieve 88% more trade volume from US$325.3bil end of 2010 to US$552.8bil.
In the undercurrent of Malaysia's economic resilience are also the trade trends and emerging corridors with China, Vietnam and India.
HSBC forecasts Malaysian oil exports to China to grow by 7.5% in value, or 176% in volume, annually over the 15-year period.
India is coming up to be a key export corridor for food and agriculture industries, setting the annualised growth rate at 12.7% in value or 430% in volume. In turn, the volumes of India's chemicals and pharmaceuticals imported into Malaysia are projected to grow 135%.
Imports from Vietnam will rise notably in the iron and steel sector at 9.3% annually, while the rubber and plastics sectors will hit 9.9%.
According to HSBC Bank director of trade and supply chain Ng Wei Wei, driving regional trade would be important and commodities would be a key puller for the economy. Another driving force would come from Government projects such as those under the Economic Transformation Programme.
“Barring what is happening in the global environment, HSBC will remain bullish about the outlook of the country because of what the Government is doing domestically as well as the shift in the way trade is conducted now.
“People are now moving and looking into Asia,” she said at a briefing on HSBC's updates on the new patterns in trade flows into Asia.
Ng added that the key anchors for the economy would be commodities, rubber, steel and iron as well as agricultural products.
China's demand will continue to spur trade in Asia while India's consumption and investments in Asean and beyond contributes more resilience.
“China and India are also moving into Africa and Latin America. They are very aggressive in going out to wherever they can to expand their infrastructure opportunities. It's not about consumer products anymore,” said Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corp Ltd regional head trade and supply chain for Asia (ex-Hong Kong and Macau) Simon Constantinides.
Malaysia October exports up 15.8%, outlook unclear
http://www.mysinchew.com/node/67565r
BusinessNews 2011-12-09 13:56
KUALA LUMPUR, December 9, 2011 (AFP) - Malaysia said Friday its economically vital exports grew 15.8 percent on-year in October to a record high but warned trade could slow next year due to global uncertainty.
The trade ministry said the value of Malaysian exports, the main engine of the Southeast Asian nation's economy, hit a fresh high of 63.57 billion ringgit ($20.33 billion).
Despite weakened US and European markets, export growth has gained pace this year thanks to steady shipments of key commodities such as palm oil, rubber and energy products.
Imports for October, meanwhile, rose to 50.35 billion ringgit, up 4.6 percent year-on-year.
Total trade for the first 10 months climbed to 1.05 trillion ringgit, up 8.8 percent from the previous period, with exports growing to 577.16 billion ringgit over the period, up 9.1 percent.
The trade ministry said exports were boosted by continued growth in demand from Southeast Asia and China.
Exports to the United States slipped 5.5 percent year on year while those to the European Union were up five percent.
"Nonetheless, the ripple effect of the financial doldrums of the eurozone and the USA may hit Asia and it is important for Malaysian manufacturers and exporters to be alert and be prepared for the challenges ahead," it warned.
Yeah Kim Leng, chief economist with financial research firm RAM Holdings, said Malaysia must nurture domestic and regional demand to offset any impact from Europe and the United States.
"Malaysia has to contend with the uncertain demand that is likely to hit next year due to the prospect of a recession," he told AFP.
Malaysian exports in October were led by chemical, metal, and rubber products, as well as liquefied natural gas and palm oil.
Exports to Southeast Asia, which accounted for almost a quarter of the total in October, rose 16.2 percent year on year to 15.8 billion ringgit.
Shipments to China rose 37.1 percent to 8.66 billion ringgit, while exports to Japan also rose.
Trade exceeds RM1 trillion, spurred by Asian market
Saturday December 10, 2011
KUALA LUMPUR: Asian market spurred Malaysia's total trade between January and October to breach RM1 trillion mark with exports clinching 15.8% growth, the highest monthly figure ever recorded.
Exports surged by 9.1% to RM557.16bil while imports rose 8.5% to RM474.72bil, bringing total trade to RM1.052 trillion, up by 8.8%. This resulted in a trade surplus of RM102.44bil.
International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed, in announcing the trade figures yesterday, said exports maintained a steady growth momentum, recording RM63.57bil in October, the highest monthly exports ever registered. This was up by 15.8% compared with a year ago.
“The positive export performance for the past 10 months makes Malaysia's export target for the year set at between 6% and 7% realisable,” he said in a statement.
However, ripple effects from the eurozone and the US financial doldrums may hit Asia. Hence, it was important for Malaysian manufacturers and exporters to be on alert and be prepared for the challenges ahead, he said.
Mustapa said imports rose 4.6% to RM50.35bil while total trade expanded by 10.6% to RM113.91bil.
Compared with September, total trade, exports and imports in October were higher by 5.7%, 8.3% and 2.6% respectively, Mustapa said.
He said manufactured exports, which accounted for 64.8% of total exports in October, increased by 2.2% from a year ago. Overall, manufactured goods contributed 10.5% to October exports growth.
The major thrust was provided by chemicals and chemical products, metal manufactures and rubber products, which surged by 24.3%, 38.5% and 23.7% respectively, and helped offset the impact of the lower exports of electrical and electronics (E&E) products, which slid by 9%.
Commodities, mainly liquefied natural gas (LNG), palm oil, crude and refined petroleum products, contributed 76.2% to export growth in October.
Mustapa said exports to Asean countries stood at RM15.8bil, up by 16.2% from last year. This accounted for 24.8% of Malaysia's total exports in October.
He said higher exports were registered for refined petroleum products, crude petroleum, chemicals and chemical products, palm oil, metal manufactures, tin, iron and steel products, optical and scientific equipment and non-metallic mineral products.
He said exports to all Asean countries, except for Laos, registered growth, with the strongest seen to Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines and Vietnam.
In October, exports to China continued to thrive, expanding 37.1% year-on-year to RM8.66bil, with a large product range that included commodities and manufactured goods such as E&E products, metal manufactures, chemicals and chemical products and processed food, he said.
Mustapa said Japan remained Malaysia's third-largest export destination. From meeting post-tsunami and earthquake requirements to new demands arising from supply chain disruptions caused by the massive floods in Thailand, exports to Japan rose 29.6% to RM7.52bil.
Increased exports were seen for LNG, machinery, appliances and parts, palm oil, wood products, chemicals and chemical products as well as optical and scientific equipment.
The minister said exports to the European Union increased 5% to RM6.49bil due mainly to higher exports of metal manufactures and palm oil. He said Germany, the Netherlands and France remained the top three export markets.
The United States retained its position as the fourth-largest export market, with 7.9% share of Malaysia's total exports in October, he said.
The year-end festive season seemed to have little impact on increasing demand, he said, adding that encouraging export growth was seen in October to green field markets such as India, Bangladesh and Nigeria.
He said total imports in October increased 4.6% to RM50.35bil from October last year. Intermediate goods worth RM31.99bil accounted for 63.5% of total imports, capital goods 15.5% and consumption goods 7.2%, he said. – Bernama
Friday, December 16, 2011
Thursday, November 3, 2011
Trade in August 2011
Malaysia posts RM10.98b Aug trade surplus
Malaysia recorded a trade surplus of RM10.98 billion in August this year, boosted by higher exports and imports during the period, Minister of International Trade and Industry Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said today.
He said during the month, exports increased by 10.9 per cent to RM58.56 billion while imports increased by 6.9 per cent to RM47.58 billion.
Total trade in August grew by 9.1 per cent compared to a year ago to RM106.14 billion.
On a month-on-month basis, Mustapa said, exports and imports in August 2011 were lower by 1.2 per cent and 4.4 per cent respectively, while total trade decreased by 2.7 per cent.
During January-August 2011, total trade increased by 7.9 per cent to RM830.23 billion compared with the corresponding period in 2010.
Exports increased by 7.4 per cent to RM454.91 billion while imports expanded by 8.5 per cent to RM375.33 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of RM79.58 billion during the same period.
The increase in exports in August 2011 from a year ago was contributed mainly by higher exports of palm oil, chemicals and chemical products, liquefied natural gas, rubber products, crude rubber, machinery, appliances and parts as well as manufacture of metal.
China, Singapore, Japan, the US and Thailand were the top five export destinations, accounting for 51.7 per cent of the country's total exports in August 2011.
Mustapa said exports to Association of South-East Asian Nations (Asean) were valued at RM14.37 billion, accounting for 24.5 per cent of Malaysia’s total exports in August 2011.
Total exports to Asean rose by 10.7 per cent from a year ago, due mainly to higher exports of refined petroleum products, chemicals and chemical products as well as palm oil.
Exports Malaysia: Exports up 11% in August, exceed economists' forecast
Malaysia's total exports for August registered a growth of 10.9% year-on-year to RM58.56bil, which is higher than the median 7.9% estimate of a Bloomberg economists' forecast.
The increase was mainly contributed by higher exports of palm oil, chemicals and chemical products, liquefied natural gas, rubber products, crude rubber, machinery, appliances and parts as well as manufactures of metal, said International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed in a statement issued by the Statistics Department.
China, Singapore, Japan, the United States and Thailand were the top five export destinations, accounting for 51.7% of Malaysia's total exports in August.
Exports to Asean improved by 10.7% year-on-year to RM14.37bil, accounting for 24.5% of total exports in August, on higher sales of refined petroleum products, chemicals and chemical products as well as palm oil. Exports to China rose 25.3% to RM8.4bil due mainly to an increase in exports of palm oil while exports to the European Union rose by 11.2% to RM6.26bil on higher sales of palm oil, chemicals and chemical products as well as crude rubber.
However, exports to the United States declined by 2.2% to RM5bil due to lower sales of electrical and electronic products. Exports of palm oil to the United States recorded an 84.6% increase from a year ago.
Total imports in August grew by 6.9% year-on-year to RM47.58bil while total trade expanded by 9.1% to RM106.14bil.
Malaysian exports led by commodities
Demand for commodities from China and India will remain the main pillar of support for Malaysia's exports in July as in the previous month with the export-reliant manufacturing sector continuing to feel the impact from a drop in sales of consumer electric and electronic (E&E) goods from the United States and Europe.
Commodity exports account for roughly 40 percent of the country's exports.
According to Singapore-based economists, the exports front would remain volatile with July's data to mirror June's to a certain extent although exports could weaken further in August based on commodity futures prices, which have trended downward in recent months.
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp Ltd economist Gundy Cahyadi said that exports would be held up by commodities but the pace of growth could be slower compared with June.
“This is quite clear cut for exporters in Asean and this will likely be the case for Malaysia too,” he said, adding that the high proportion of commodities in Malaysia and Indonesia's exports had provided a buffer for exports.
Gundy said the rise in commodity exports must also be put into perspective as prior to the recent decline in prices, commodity prices were rising year-on-year, which in turn had lent support to exporters such as Malaysia.
For June, exports climbed 8.6 percent year-on-year compared with May's 5.4%, higher than a Bloomberg survey for a 5.8 percent rise. The growth in exports was largely due to intra-regional trade in commodities.
Gundy said although commodity prices were less price-sensitive compared with manufactured goods, this did not mean that prices would not come down should global growth slowed further.
United Overseas Bank Ltd economist Ho Woei Chen said consumer demand and infrastructure development in China would still be the best bet for Asean's export-reliant economies. “This is because China should not have a problem sustaining growth at between 8% and 9%,” she added.
However, Ho believes that Malaysia's exports could face even more challenges ahead as commodity futures have trended downwards in recent months. “This will impact August's export numbers as forward manufacturing indicators such as the industrial production index (measuring factory output) will still be low,” she said.
Malaysia's exports beat forecasts
By Rupa Damodaran
rupabanerji@nstp.com.my
2011/10/08
KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysian exports grew at a faster pace than market expectations in August, led by commodities.
Exports expanded by 10.9 per cent to RM58.56 billion year-on-year while imports increased by 6.9 per cent to RM47.58 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of RM10.98 billion.
The International Trade and Industry Ministry (Miti), which released the data yesterday, said the export growth was due mainly to higher exports of palm oil, chemicals and chemical products, liquefied natural gas (LNG), rubber products, crude rubber, machinery, appliances and parts as well as manufactures of metal.
Credit Suisse economist Wu Kun Lung said the August export figure was in line with the research house's view that it will stay above 10 per cent in the third quarter, due to a favourable base effect.
But exports excluding palm oil, LNG and petroleum were still below the recent peak in March, reflecting the poor performance of electronics in recent months.
"The weak global PMI surveys in September and US semiconductor book-to-bill ratio do not bode for exports in coming months."
The fall in palm oil and crude oil prices in September were both down by about 10 per cent, which suggest that commodity exports might also weaken.
"We maintain our view that although exports might still look strong in year-on-year terms in the next few months (September in particular), in sequential terms, exports are likely to remain flat or even negative if commodity prices fall further."
CIMB Investment Bank chief economist Lee Heng Guie expects the weakening external conditions sap demand for Malaysian products throughout next year.
Exporters, he said, have begun to feel the pinch as overseas orders have slowed although year-end festive celebrations are around the corner.
"Continued outsourcing activities by Malaysian companies to China, Indonesia and Vietnam also dampen export prospects. As such, we expect export growth to come at the low end of 6 per cent to 7 per cent for this year," he added.
Dr Chua Hak Bin, of Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said leading technology indices suggest that technology output will likely continue contracting in the coming months from weaker US and global technology orders.
This will impact the gross domestic product growth in the second half, causing it to moderate to 3.8 per cent in the second half from 4.5 per cent in the first half.
"Stall speed in the G3 economies (US, Europe and Japan) will dampen Malaysia's export prospects for the rest of the year and early 2012."
Chua said an accommodative monetary policy and some pick-up in investment spending next year should help partly offset weakening external demand.
Meanwhile, Wu also noted that China has overtaken Singapore to become the biggest market for Malaysian exports in recent months.
Exports to China rose 25.3 per cent while exports to Singapore was up by only 3.2 per cent.
China, Singapore, Japan, the US and Thailand were the top export destinations during the month.
Exports to Japan increased by 5.3 per cent to RM6.09 billion, due mainly to higher exports of LNG, wood products as well as machinery, appliances and parts.
Exports to the US declined by 2.2 per cent to RM5.01 billion as a result of lower exports of electrical & electronic products although exports to the European Union increased by 11.2 per cent to RM6.26 billion, due mainly to higher exports of palm oil, chemicals and chemical products as well as crude rubber.
Malaysia recorded a trade surplus of RM10.98 billion in August this year, boosted by higher exports and imports during the period, Minister of International Trade and Industry Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said today.
He said during the month, exports increased by 10.9 per cent to RM58.56 billion while imports increased by 6.9 per cent to RM47.58 billion.
Total trade in August grew by 9.1 per cent compared to a year ago to RM106.14 billion.
On a month-on-month basis, Mustapa said, exports and imports in August 2011 were lower by 1.2 per cent and 4.4 per cent respectively, while total trade decreased by 2.7 per cent.
During January-August 2011, total trade increased by 7.9 per cent to RM830.23 billion compared with the corresponding period in 2010.
Exports increased by 7.4 per cent to RM454.91 billion while imports expanded by 8.5 per cent to RM375.33 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of RM79.58 billion during the same period.
The increase in exports in August 2011 from a year ago was contributed mainly by higher exports of palm oil, chemicals and chemical products, liquefied natural gas, rubber products, crude rubber, machinery, appliances and parts as well as manufacture of metal.
China, Singapore, Japan, the US and Thailand were the top five export destinations, accounting for 51.7 per cent of the country's total exports in August 2011.
Mustapa said exports to Association of South-East Asian Nations (Asean) were valued at RM14.37 billion, accounting for 24.5 per cent of Malaysia’s total exports in August 2011.
Total exports to Asean rose by 10.7 per cent from a year ago, due mainly to higher exports of refined petroleum products, chemicals and chemical products as well as palm oil.
Exports Malaysia: Exports up 11% in August, exceed economists' forecast
Malaysia's total exports for August registered a growth of 10.9% year-on-year to RM58.56bil, which is higher than the median 7.9% estimate of a Bloomberg economists' forecast.
The increase was mainly contributed by higher exports of palm oil, chemicals and chemical products, liquefied natural gas, rubber products, crude rubber, machinery, appliances and parts as well as manufactures of metal, said International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed in a statement issued by the Statistics Department.
China, Singapore, Japan, the United States and Thailand were the top five export destinations, accounting for 51.7% of Malaysia's total exports in August.
Exports to Asean improved by 10.7% year-on-year to RM14.37bil, accounting for 24.5% of total exports in August, on higher sales of refined petroleum products, chemicals and chemical products as well as palm oil. Exports to China rose 25.3% to RM8.4bil due mainly to an increase in exports of palm oil while exports to the European Union rose by 11.2% to RM6.26bil on higher sales of palm oil, chemicals and chemical products as well as crude rubber.
However, exports to the United States declined by 2.2% to RM5bil due to lower sales of electrical and electronic products. Exports of palm oil to the United States recorded an 84.6% increase from a year ago.
Total imports in August grew by 6.9% year-on-year to RM47.58bil while total trade expanded by 9.1% to RM106.14bil.
Malaysian exports led by commodities
Demand for commodities from China and India will remain the main pillar of support for Malaysia's exports in July as in the previous month with the export-reliant manufacturing sector continuing to feel the impact from a drop in sales of consumer electric and electronic (E&E) goods from the United States and Europe.
Commodity exports account for roughly 40 percent of the country's exports.
According to Singapore-based economists, the exports front would remain volatile with July's data to mirror June's to a certain extent although exports could weaken further in August based on commodity futures prices, which have trended downward in recent months.
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp Ltd economist Gundy Cahyadi said that exports would be held up by commodities but the pace of growth could be slower compared with June.
“This is quite clear cut for exporters in Asean and this will likely be the case for Malaysia too,” he said, adding that the high proportion of commodities in Malaysia and Indonesia's exports had provided a buffer for exports.
Gundy said the rise in commodity exports must also be put into perspective as prior to the recent decline in prices, commodity prices were rising year-on-year, which in turn had lent support to exporters such as Malaysia.
For June, exports climbed 8.6 percent year-on-year compared with May's 5.4%, higher than a Bloomberg survey for a 5.8 percent rise. The growth in exports was largely due to intra-regional trade in commodities.
Gundy said although commodity prices were less price-sensitive compared with manufactured goods, this did not mean that prices would not come down should global growth slowed further.
United Overseas Bank Ltd economist Ho Woei Chen said consumer demand and infrastructure development in China would still be the best bet for Asean's export-reliant economies. “This is because China should not have a problem sustaining growth at between 8% and 9%,” she added.
However, Ho believes that Malaysia's exports could face even more challenges ahead as commodity futures have trended downwards in recent months. “This will impact August's export numbers as forward manufacturing indicators such as the industrial production index (measuring factory output) will still be low,” she said.
Malaysia's exports beat forecasts
By Rupa Damodaran
rupabanerji@nstp.com.my
2011/10/08
KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysian exports grew at a faster pace than market expectations in August, led by commodities.
Exports expanded by 10.9 per cent to RM58.56 billion year-on-year while imports increased by 6.9 per cent to RM47.58 billion, resulting in a trade surplus of RM10.98 billion.
The International Trade and Industry Ministry (Miti), which released the data yesterday, said the export growth was due mainly to higher exports of palm oil, chemicals and chemical products, liquefied natural gas (LNG), rubber products, crude rubber, machinery, appliances and parts as well as manufactures of metal.
Credit Suisse economist Wu Kun Lung said the August export figure was in line with the research house's view that it will stay above 10 per cent in the third quarter, due to a favourable base effect.
But exports excluding palm oil, LNG and petroleum were still below the recent peak in March, reflecting the poor performance of electronics in recent months.
"The weak global PMI surveys in September and US semiconductor book-to-bill ratio do not bode for exports in coming months."
The fall in palm oil and crude oil prices in September were both down by about 10 per cent, which suggest that commodity exports might also weaken.
"We maintain our view that although exports might still look strong in year-on-year terms in the next few months (September in particular), in sequential terms, exports are likely to remain flat or even negative if commodity prices fall further."
CIMB Investment Bank chief economist Lee Heng Guie expects the weakening external conditions sap demand for Malaysian products throughout next year.
Exporters, he said, have begun to feel the pinch as overseas orders have slowed although year-end festive celebrations are around the corner.
"Continued outsourcing activities by Malaysian companies to China, Indonesia and Vietnam also dampen export prospects. As such, we expect export growth to come at the low end of 6 per cent to 7 per cent for this year," he added.
Dr Chua Hak Bin, of Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said leading technology indices suggest that technology output will likely continue contracting in the coming months from weaker US and global technology orders.
This will impact the gross domestic product growth in the second half, causing it to moderate to 3.8 per cent in the second half from 4.5 per cent in the first half.
"Stall speed in the G3 economies (US, Europe and Japan) will dampen Malaysia's export prospects for the rest of the year and early 2012."
Chua said an accommodative monetary policy and some pick-up in investment spending next year should help partly offset weakening external demand.
Meanwhile, Wu also noted that China has overtaken Singapore to become the biggest market for Malaysian exports in recent months.
Exports to China rose 25.3 per cent while exports to Singapore was up by only 3.2 per cent.
China, Singapore, Japan, the US and Thailand were the top export destinations during the month.
Exports to Japan increased by 5.3 per cent to RM6.09 billion, due mainly to higher exports of LNG, wood products as well as machinery, appliances and parts.
Exports to the US declined by 2.2 per cent to RM5.01 billion as a result of lower exports of electrical & electronic products although exports to the European Union increased by 11.2 per cent to RM6.26 billion, due mainly to higher exports of palm oil, chemicals and chemical products as well as crude rubber.
Friday, September 9, 2011
Trade in July 2011
Malaysia exports up 7.1% in July
(AFP) – 1 hour ago
KUALA LUMPUR — Malaysia said its exports, the mainstay of the country's economy, increased 7.1 percent year-on-year in July, easing from the previous month as the global economy slows down.
The trade ministry on Friday said exports grew to 59.24 billion ringgit ($19.80 billion) while imports reached 49.79 billion ringgit, up 2.9 percent year on year.
The export growth was led by higher shipments of palm oil, liquefied natural gas, chemicals and chemical products, which accounted for more than one-fifth of all exports.
The pace of exports was slower than June's 8.6 percent year-on-year increase and down from the 13.5 percent growth seen in July 2010.
Yeah Kim Leng, group chief economist with financial firm RAM Holdings, called July's export performance "moderate, within expectation" as Europe and the United States struggle with debt crises and Japan recovers from its earthquake and tsunami disasters.
"The gradual pace is reflective of the turbulence of the global economy," he told AFP. "Of course there will be a couple of months that will be turbulent, where uncertainty persists."
Total trade in the January-July period stood at 724.09 billion ringgit, up 7.7 percent from the same period last year, while exports increased 6.9 percent over the seven-month period.
The top five export destinations in July were China, Singapore, Japan, the Unite States and Thailand.
Exports to the United States declined by 14.9 percent to 4.77 billion ringgit in July due partly to lower shipments of electrical and electronic products, a key export to that market.
Last month, the central bank announced Malaysia's economy grew 4.0 percent in the second quarter, its slowest pace in nearly two years, on softening global export demand and a moderation in public sector spending.
It has forecast full-year growth of between five and six percent.
Although hit hard by the global slowdown, Southeast Asia's third-largest economy rebounded with an impressive 7.2 percent growth in 2010.
Since taking power in 2009 premier Najib Razak has unveiled a series of measures to stimulate the economy, including promises of major infrastructure projects and financial market liberalisation.
Malaysia July exports to ease on slower electronics demand
By Rupa Damodaran
rupabanerji@nstp.com.my
2011/09/08
KUALA LUMPUR: The growth of Malaysia's exports is due to ease in July, in line with slower global demand for electronics.
Economists polled by Business Times have differing views on the growth pace from June's 8.6 per cent, as some think that strong commodity exports could cushion weaker electronics shipments.
Exports are expected to grow by an average of 6.58 per cent year-on-year, imports by 5.93 per cent year-on-year and the trade balance to average RM7.74 billion.
The International Trade and Industry Ministry (Miti) will announce the details today. Gundy Cahyadi of OCBC Bank thinks it is unlikely that export growth would be better than June.
"With slowing global growth momentum, we now expect to see soft figures for the rest of the year, although the July export data from the region has been somewhat modest."
The August-October export growth figures may be crucial for a better feel of Malaysia's overall expansion in 2011, he added.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch said electronic exports are likely to contract for the 11th straight month.
Kit Wei Zheng of Citi agreed, saying the E&E (electric & electronics) sector will remain soft given the continued cyclical slowdown in electronics, though supply disruption from the Japan earthquake have begun to wane.
"China registered a surge in imports from Malaysia though exports to Singapore could provide a drag as Singapore registered sharply slower imports from Malaysia."
Commodity exports are expected to continue to provide the lift as shown by the combined value of palm oil and palm kernel oil exports which jumped 56.3 per cent year-on-year in July after surging 51.9 per cent in June.
Irvin Seah of DBS Bank expects a fairly healthy expansion.
"Yet, downside risks remain considering the high base last year, the currency appreciation and the weakness in global demand.
"This is particularly true for key electronics exports, which is expected to languish given weak demand."
Seah said much depends on how the economic situation pans out in developed economies in the coming months. Hope is also pinned on Japan's reconstruction effort and resilient demand in Asia.
"Festive season demand towards the end of the year could also provide additional boost."
Business
7-8pc trade growth expected, says Mustapa
By Lee Wei Lian
Sep 09, 2011
KUALA LUMPUR, Sept 9 — Malaysia’s total trade is expected to grow between seven and eight per cent this year said Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed today.
The Minister of International Trade and Industry added however that if the global economy improved the country could achieve a higher trade growth rate.
Malaysia’s trade growth in the first seven months of this year was 7.7 per cent with import growth outpacing export growth 8.7 per cent to 6.9 per cent.
“We are confident to achieve 7-8 per cent growth based on the first seven months of this year,” said Mustapa . “Although US and Europe are facing uncertainty, Malaysia is doing reasonably well.”
Trade grew fastest with India at 37.8 per cent, followed by Japan at 18 per cent and Germany at 16.9 per cent.
China was the largest export destination absorbing 12.8 per cent of Malaysia’s exports, followed by Singapore at 12.7 per cent and Japan at 11.1 per cent.
Exports of manufactured goods rose 0.4 per cent while mining exports rose 17.3 per cent and agricultural exports rose 35.2 per cent.
TheEdge_Malaysian trade still resilient, says Mustapa
Written by Tashny Sukumaran of theedgemalaysia.com
Friday, 09 September 2011 12:41
KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia's trade performance from January to July continued to maintain a good trajectory, with trade expanding by 7.7% to RM724.09 billion compared with a year ago, said Minister of International Trade and Industry Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed.
Trade data for January to July showed a 6.9% growth in exports and 8.7% growth in imports on-year. Total exports increased to RM396.35 billion while imports expanded to RM327.75 billion, he said.
"We have done reasonably well, but not as well as 2010," said Mustapa, adding that the country's resilient trade performance was due to Malaysia's diversified markets and broad product base.
Speaking to reporters on Friday, Sept 9, Mustapa said that there was good export growth in all major markets except for Hong Kong and the US, attributing it to a lower rate of electrical and electronic equipment exports.
Looking forward, the government expects Malaysia's trade to grow but at a slower rate than the one recorded in 2010, he said.
"We are confident of achieving a 7% to 8% growth rate, but are unlikely to achieve figures like 10%. It is doable, but requires that the world economy improves,” he said.
Mustapa said the numbers reached were consistent with import figures, and due to consistent trade with Asia and Asean nations and a diverse product base, Malaysia would continue to perform resiliently.
Large regional economies such as China, India and Indonesia were expected to not only provide markets for the nation's exports, but also serve as a major source of investment, TECHNOLOGY [] and business partnership.
The nation recorded its 165th consecutive month of trade surplus in July, with exports and imports expanding at 7.1% and 2.9% compared with July last year. The main contributors to export growth are palm oil, liquid natural gas, chemicals and chemical products.
Other products supporting growth were crude petroleum, machinery, appliances and parts, and manufacturers of metal, rubber products, processed food and textiles and clothing.
Mustapa also said that the implementation of Economic Transformation Programme (ETP) projects would generate high value exports in the areas of E&E, oil and gas, medical products, engineering design, business services and creative content.
Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak had on Thursday said the combined value of the ETP initiatives was now RM171.21 billion in investment, with RM228.55 billion in contribution to the gross national income.
The second half of 2011 is expected to see better trade performance with the year-end festive seasons as retailers begin to restock and manufacturers start inventory preparation, said Mustapa.
The Star_Malaysia’s trade flourishes and hits RM724bil
Friday September 9, 2011
PETALING JAYA: Malaysia's trade continued to flourish, rising 7.7% year-on-year in the first seven months this year to a total RM724.09bil.
Exports climbed 6.9% to RM396.35bil from RM370.9bil a year earlier, while imports rose 8.7% to RM327.75bil from RM301.54bil.
In a statement issued by the International Trade and Industry Ministry (Miti), Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed noted that trade surplus stood at RM68.6bil.
Trade in July was up 5.1% year-on-year to RM109.04bil, and registered a surplus of RM9.45bil. Malaysia's trade has been in surplus since November 1997.
Exports in July increased 7.1% year-on-year to RM59.24bil while imports were 2.9% higher at RM49.79bil. Exports and imports in July 2010 were RM55.33bil and RM48.39bil, respectively.
Miti said the July exports mainly comprised electrical and electronics products, valued at RM20.62bil, while palm oil shipments were at RM6.02bil.
Other major exports included liquefied natural gas, chemical products, crude petroleum, refined petroleum products, machinery and appliances, metal products as well as optical and scientific equipment.
The biggest export markets for July were China and Singapore, which took in RM8.08bil and RM7.25bil worth of goods.
The other major export markets were Japan, the United States, Thailand, India, Hong Kong, Republic of Korea, Taiwan and the Netherlands.
Malaysia records RM9.45b trade surplus in July 2011
http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/2011/09/09/malaysia-records-rm9-45b-trade-surplus-in-july-2011/
September 9, 2011
KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia recorded its 165th consecutive month of trade surplus in July 2011 of RM9.45 billion with export and import expanding at 7.1% and 2.9% respectively compared with July 2010.
In a statement today, International Trade and Industry Minister Mustapa Mohamed, said for July 2011, total trade grew by 5.1% to RM109.04 billion compared with a year ago.
Export for the month has registered RM59.24 billion while import grew to RM49.79 billion, he said.
On a month-to-month basis, export in July 2011 increased by 2.4% and import fell by 0.4%.
Palm oil, liquefied natural gas, chemical and chemical products were the main contributors to the export growth in July.
Mustapa said other products supporting the growth were crude petroluem, machinery, appliances and parts, manufactures of metal, rubber products, processed food, textiles and clothing.
He said Malaysia’s trade performance for the first seven months of the year continued to maintain a growth projectory with trade expanding by 7.7% to RM724.09 billion compared with the corresponding period in 2010.
“This was supported by a strong growth of 6.9% in export and 8.7% in imports,” he said.
Mustapa said total exports increased to RM396.35 billion while imports expanded to RM327bil
Malaysia's trade growth to moderate
2011/09/10
KUALA LUMPUR: External shocks from Europe's financial crisis and faltering US economy are expected to dampen Malaysia's trade momentum with growth anticipated to moderate between 7 and 8 per cent this year compared with 18.3 per cent recorded in 2010.
International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said if there were some improvement in the global economy, then a 10 to 11 per cent growth was doable.
"But, for that we got to work extra hard on trade promotions," he told reporters after announcing the country's trade perfor-mance for July.
Malaysia's trade performance for the first seven months of 2011 continued to maintain a growth projectory with total trade expanding 7.7 per cent to RM724.09 billion compared with the corresponding period in 2010.
Total trade last year was valued at RM1.169 trillion, an increase of 18.3 per cent, from RM988.24 billion registered in 2009 and 1.2 per cent lower compared with RM1.183 trillion recorded in 2008, the highest total trade ever transacted by the country.
"US remains the biggest economy in the world accounting for 20 per cent of global output, so what happens there has an impact on Malaysia and many other countries as we are trade-dependent countries," he said.
Malaysia's trade to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio is more than 200 per cent.
"However, we have been fortunate as despite the fairly uncertain global environment, we have done reasonably well.
"Malaysia was able to cushion the impact due to its timely diversification.
"Asia is doing well. Asean, China and India would be key export destinations for the rest of this year," said the minister.
He said large regional economies such as China, India and Indonesia would not only provide markets for Malaysia's exports but also major source of investment, technology, and business partnership.
"With growing greenfield investments, it is expected that Malaysia's profile of exports, will undergo transformation towards high-tech and high value exports," he said.
Implementation of entry point projects under the government's transformation programme is expected to generate high value exports in the areas of electrical and electronics (E&E), oil and gas, medical products, engineering design, business services and creative content.
In the next few years, the profile of Malaysia's exports will be enriched to include more semiconductors, solar products, E&E machinery, energy saving devices, as well as medical equipment and devices. - Bernama
Saturday September 10, 2011
Higher manufacturing sales value
By JOHN LOH
johnloh@thestar.com.my
KUALA LUMPUR: The latest manufacturing sector figures released by the Statistics Department show the sales value expanding 10.8% in July to RM50.4bil from last year.
The five industries that supported this growth were refined petroleum products, semi-conductor devices, basic industrial chemicals, basic iron and steel, and rubber remilling and latex processing.
Both the number of employees and salaries paid in the manufacturing sector were down slightly month-on-month (m-o-m) by 0.3% and 2.1% respectively but rose year-on-year (y-o-y) by 3.4% and 9.6% respectively.
For the January-July period, the department said manufacturing sales value totalled RM341bil, higher by 10.8% from last year. The number of employees also rose 3.4% y-o-y to 1.02 million while productivity, as measured by average sales value per employee, climbed 7.2% y-o-y to RM334,414.
Meanwhile, International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said during a briefing on the country's trade performance that Malaysia had weathered the current rough patch in the global economy relatively well.
“Despite the uncertainties in the United States and Europe, Malaysia has been quite resilient,” he said.
He forecast the trade growth to moderate to between 7% and 8% in 2011 from 10.8% in 2010. “We are confident about achieving a 7% to 8% trade growth this year. A 10% growth might be possible, but the world economy would have to bounce back first.”
Total trade for January to July stood at RM724.1bil, up 7.7% y-o-y while exports and imports grew 6.9% and 8.7% respectively to RM396.4bil and RM327.8bil.
Although exports to the United States dipped 4.7% m-o-m in July, indicative of the fragile economic situation there, Mustapa said Asia was expected to bolster demand for Malaysia's exports.
Mustapa said manufactured goods, which made up the bulk of Malaysia's exports at 68.3% for the period under review, grew the least compared with other sectors due to the slowdown in electric and electronic exports, which in turn contributed 50.5% to manufactured goods exports.
The slowdown was due to the relocation of manufacturing bases and shift in global supply chain for automatic data processing machines to lower cost producing countries.
Also, Malaysia has limited capacity to meet the current lucrative demand for feel-good gadgets such as mobile devices and communication equipment.
A more buoyant export sector was chemicals and chemical products, which grew 14.8% y-o-y to RM27bil. This was driven by accelerated demand in China, Vietnam, South Korea, and the Netherlands, owing to the rapid industrial and manufacturing development in those countries
(AFP) – 1 hour ago
KUALA LUMPUR — Malaysia said its exports, the mainstay of the country's economy, increased 7.1 percent year-on-year in July, easing from the previous month as the global economy slows down.
The trade ministry on Friday said exports grew to 59.24 billion ringgit ($19.80 billion) while imports reached 49.79 billion ringgit, up 2.9 percent year on year.
The export growth was led by higher shipments of palm oil, liquefied natural gas, chemicals and chemical products, which accounted for more than one-fifth of all exports.
The pace of exports was slower than June's 8.6 percent year-on-year increase and down from the 13.5 percent growth seen in July 2010.
Yeah Kim Leng, group chief economist with financial firm RAM Holdings, called July's export performance "moderate, within expectation" as Europe and the United States struggle with debt crises and Japan recovers from its earthquake and tsunami disasters.
"The gradual pace is reflective of the turbulence of the global economy," he told AFP. "Of course there will be a couple of months that will be turbulent, where uncertainty persists."
Total trade in the January-July period stood at 724.09 billion ringgit, up 7.7 percent from the same period last year, while exports increased 6.9 percent over the seven-month period.
The top five export destinations in July were China, Singapore, Japan, the Unite States and Thailand.
Exports to the United States declined by 14.9 percent to 4.77 billion ringgit in July due partly to lower shipments of electrical and electronic products, a key export to that market.
Last month, the central bank announced Malaysia's economy grew 4.0 percent in the second quarter, its slowest pace in nearly two years, on softening global export demand and a moderation in public sector spending.
It has forecast full-year growth of between five and six percent.
Although hit hard by the global slowdown, Southeast Asia's third-largest economy rebounded with an impressive 7.2 percent growth in 2010.
Since taking power in 2009 premier Najib Razak has unveiled a series of measures to stimulate the economy, including promises of major infrastructure projects and financial market liberalisation.
Malaysia July exports to ease on slower electronics demand
By Rupa Damodaran
rupabanerji@nstp.com.my
2011/09/08
KUALA LUMPUR: The growth of Malaysia's exports is due to ease in July, in line with slower global demand for electronics.
Economists polled by Business Times have differing views on the growth pace from June's 8.6 per cent, as some think that strong commodity exports could cushion weaker electronics shipments.
Exports are expected to grow by an average of 6.58 per cent year-on-year, imports by 5.93 per cent year-on-year and the trade balance to average RM7.74 billion.
The International Trade and Industry Ministry (Miti) will announce the details today. Gundy Cahyadi of OCBC Bank thinks it is unlikely that export growth would be better than June.
"With slowing global growth momentum, we now expect to see soft figures for the rest of the year, although the July export data from the region has been somewhat modest."
The August-October export growth figures may be crucial for a better feel of Malaysia's overall expansion in 2011, he added.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch said electronic exports are likely to contract for the 11th straight month.
Kit Wei Zheng of Citi agreed, saying the E&E (electric & electronics) sector will remain soft given the continued cyclical slowdown in electronics, though supply disruption from the Japan earthquake have begun to wane.
"China registered a surge in imports from Malaysia though exports to Singapore could provide a drag as Singapore registered sharply slower imports from Malaysia."
Commodity exports are expected to continue to provide the lift as shown by the combined value of palm oil and palm kernel oil exports which jumped 56.3 per cent year-on-year in July after surging 51.9 per cent in June.
Irvin Seah of DBS Bank expects a fairly healthy expansion.
"Yet, downside risks remain considering the high base last year, the currency appreciation and the weakness in global demand.
"This is particularly true for key electronics exports, which is expected to languish given weak demand."
Seah said much depends on how the economic situation pans out in developed economies in the coming months. Hope is also pinned on Japan's reconstruction effort and resilient demand in Asia.
"Festive season demand towards the end of the year could also provide additional boost."
Business
7-8pc trade growth expected, says Mustapa
By Lee Wei Lian
Sep 09, 2011
KUALA LUMPUR, Sept 9 — Malaysia’s total trade is expected to grow between seven and eight per cent this year said Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed today.
The Minister of International Trade and Industry added however that if the global economy improved the country could achieve a higher trade growth rate.
Malaysia’s trade growth in the first seven months of this year was 7.7 per cent with import growth outpacing export growth 8.7 per cent to 6.9 per cent.
“We are confident to achieve 7-8 per cent growth based on the first seven months of this year,” said Mustapa . “Although US and Europe are facing uncertainty, Malaysia is doing reasonably well.”
Trade grew fastest with India at 37.8 per cent, followed by Japan at 18 per cent and Germany at 16.9 per cent.
China was the largest export destination absorbing 12.8 per cent of Malaysia’s exports, followed by Singapore at 12.7 per cent and Japan at 11.1 per cent.
Exports of manufactured goods rose 0.4 per cent while mining exports rose 17.3 per cent and agricultural exports rose 35.2 per cent.
TheEdge_Malaysian trade still resilient, says Mustapa
Written by Tashny Sukumaran of theedgemalaysia.com
Friday, 09 September 2011 12:41
KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia's trade performance from January to July continued to maintain a good trajectory, with trade expanding by 7.7% to RM724.09 billion compared with a year ago, said Minister of International Trade and Industry Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed.
Trade data for January to July showed a 6.9% growth in exports and 8.7% growth in imports on-year. Total exports increased to RM396.35 billion while imports expanded to RM327.75 billion, he said.
"We have done reasonably well, but not as well as 2010," said Mustapa, adding that the country's resilient trade performance was due to Malaysia's diversified markets and broad product base.
Speaking to reporters on Friday, Sept 9, Mustapa said that there was good export growth in all major markets except for Hong Kong and the US, attributing it to a lower rate of electrical and electronic equipment exports.
Looking forward, the government expects Malaysia's trade to grow but at a slower rate than the one recorded in 2010, he said.
"We are confident of achieving a 7% to 8% growth rate, but are unlikely to achieve figures like 10%. It is doable, but requires that the world economy improves,” he said.
Mustapa said the numbers reached were consistent with import figures, and due to consistent trade with Asia and Asean nations and a diverse product base, Malaysia would continue to perform resiliently.
Large regional economies such as China, India and Indonesia were expected to not only provide markets for the nation's exports, but also serve as a major source of investment, TECHNOLOGY [] and business partnership.
The nation recorded its 165th consecutive month of trade surplus in July, with exports and imports expanding at 7.1% and 2.9% compared with July last year. The main contributors to export growth are palm oil, liquid natural gas, chemicals and chemical products.
Other products supporting growth were crude petroleum, machinery, appliances and parts, and manufacturers of metal, rubber products, processed food and textiles and clothing.
Mustapa also said that the implementation of Economic Transformation Programme (ETP) projects would generate high value exports in the areas of E&E, oil and gas, medical products, engineering design, business services and creative content.
Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak had on Thursday said the combined value of the ETP initiatives was now RM171.21 billion in investment, with RM228.55 billion in contribution to the gross national income.
The second half of 2011 is expected to see better trade performance with the year-end festive seasons as retailers begin to restock and manufacturers start inventory preparation, said Mustapa.
The Star_Malaysia’s trade flourishes and hits RM724bil
Friday September 9, 2011
PETALING JAYA: Malaysia's trade continued to flourish, rising 7.7% year-on-year in the first seven months this year to a total RM724.09bil.
Exports climbed 6.9% to RM396.35bil from RM370.9bil a year earlier, while imports rose 8.7% to RM327.75bil from RM301.54bil.
In a statement issued by the International Trade and Industry Ministry (Miti), Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed noted that trade surplus stood at RM68.6bil.
Trade in July was up 5.1% year-on-year to RM109.04bil, and registered a surplus of RM9.45bil. Malaysia's trade has been in surplus since November 1997.
Exports in July increased 7.1% year-on-year to RM59.24bil while imports were 2.9% higher at RM49.79bil. Exports and imports in July 2010 were RM55.33bil and RM48.39bil, respectively.
Miti said the July exports mainly comprised electrical and electronics products, valued at RM20.62bil, while palm oil shipments were at RM6.02bil.
Other major exports included liquefied natural gas, chemical products, crude petroleum, refined petroleum products, machinery and appliances, metal products as well as optical and scientific equipment.
The biggest export markets for July were China and Singapore, which took in RM8.08bil and RM7.25bil worth of goods.
The other major export markets were Japan, the United States, Thailand, India, Hong Kong, Republic of Korea, Taiwan and the Netherlands.
Malaysia records RM9.45b trade surplus in July 2011
http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/2011/09/09/malaysia-records-rm9-45b-trade-surplus-in-july-2011/
September 9, 2011
KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia recorded its 165th consecutive month of trade surplus in July 2011 of RM9.45 billion with export and import expanding at 7.1% and 2.9% respectively compared with July 2010.
In a statement today, International Trade and Industry Minister Mustapa Mohamed, said for July 2011, total trade grew by 5.1% to RM109.04 billion compared with a year ago.
Export for the month has registered RM59.24 billion while import grew to RM49.79 billion, he said.
On a month-to-month basis, export in July 2011 increased by 2.4% and import fell by 0.4%.
Palm oil, liquefied natural gas, chemical and chemical products were the main contributors to the export growth in July.
Mustapa said other products supporting the growth were crude petroluem, machinery, appliances and parts, manufactures of metal, rubber products, processed food, textiles and clothing.
He said Malaysia’s trade performance for the first seven months of the year continued to maintain a growth projectory with trade expanding by 7.7% to RM724.09 billion compared with the corresponding period in 2010.
“This was supported by a strong growth of 6.9% in export and 8.7% in imports,” he said.
Mustapa said total exports increased to RM396.35 billion while imports expanded to RM327bil
Malaysia's trade growth to moderate
2011/09/10
KUALA LUMPUR: External shocks from Europe's financial crisis and faltering US economy are expected to dampen Malaysia's trade momentum with growth anticipated to moderate between 7 and 8 per cent this year compared with 18.3 per cent recorded in 2010.
International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said if there were some improvement in the global economy, then a 10 to 11 per cent growth was doable.
"But, for that we got to work extra hard on trade promotions," he told reporters after announcing the country's trade perfor-mance for July.
Malaysia's trade performance for the first seven months of 2011 continued to maintain a growth projectory with total trade expanding 7.7 per cent to RM724.09 billion compared with the corresponding period in 2010.
Total trade last year was valued at RM1.169 trillion, an increase of 18.3 per cent, from RM988.24 billion registered in 2009 and 1.2 per cent lower compared with RM1.183 trillion recorded in 2008, the highest total trade ever transacted by the country.
"US remains the biggest economy in the world accounting for 20 per cent of global output, so what happens there has an impact on Malaysia and many other countries as we are trade-dependent countries," he said.
Malaysia's trade to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio is more than 200 per cent.
"However, we have been fortunate as despite the fairly uncertain global environment, we have done reasonably well.
"Malaysia was able to cushion the impact due to its timely diversification.
"Asia is doing well. Asean, China and India would be key export destinations for the rest of this year," said the minister.
He said large regional economies such as China, India and Indonesia would not only provide markets for Malaysia's exports but also major source of investment, technology, and business partnership.
"With growing greenfield investments, it is expected that Malaysia's profile of exports, will undergo transformation towards high-tech and high value exports," he said.
Implementation of entry point projects under the government's transformation programme is expected to generate high value exports in the areas of electrical and electronics (E&E), oil and gas, medical products, engineering design, business services and creative content.
In the next few years, the profile of Malaysia's exports will be enriched to include more semiconductors, solar products, E&E machinery, energy saving devices, as well as medical equipment and devices. - Bernama
Saturday September 10, 2011
Higher manufacturing sales value
By JOHN LOH
johnloh@thestar.com.my
KUALA LUMPUR: The latest manufacturing sector figures released by the Statistics Department show the sales value expanding 10.8% in July to RM50.4bil from last year.
The five industries that supported this growth were refined petroleum products, semi-conductor devices, basic industrial chemicals, basic iron and steel, and rubber remilling and latex processing.
Both the number of employees and salaries paid in the manufacturing sector were down slightly month-on-month (m-o-m) by 0.3% and 2.1% respectively but rose year-on-year (y-o-y) by 3.4% and 9.6% respectively.
For the January-July period, the department said manufacturing sales value totalled RM341bil, higher by 10.8% from last year. The number of employees also rose 3.4% y-o-y to 1.02 million while productivity, as measured by average sales value per employee, climbed 7.2% y-o-y to RM334,414.
Meanwhile, International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said during a briefing on the country's trade performance that Malaysia had weathered the current rough patch in the global economy relatively well.
“Despite the uncertainties in the United States and Europe, Malaysia has been quite resilient,” he said.
He forecast the trade growth to moderate to between 7% and 8% in 2011 from 10.8% in 2010. “We are confident about achieving a 7% to 8% trade growth this year. A 10% growth might be possible, but the world economy would have to bounce back first.”
Total trade for January to July stood at RM724.1bil, up 7.7% y-o-y while exports and imports grew 6.9% and 8.7% respectively to RM396.4bil and RM327.8bil.
Although exports to the United States dipped 4.7% m-o-m in July, indicative of the fragile economic situation there, Mustapa said Asia was expected to bolster demand for Malaysia's exports.
Mustapa said manufactured goods, which made up the bulk of Malaysia's exports at 68.3% for the period under review, grew the least compared with other sectors due to the slowdown in electric and electronic exports, which in turn contributed 50.5% to manufactured goods exports.
The slowdown was due to the relocation of manufacturing bases and shift in global supply chain for automatic data processing machines to lower cost producing countries.
Also, Malaysia has limited capacity to meet the current lucrative demand for feel-good gadgets such as mobile devices and communication equipment.
A more buoyant export sector was chemicals and chemical products, which grew 14.8% y-o-y to RM27bil. This was driven by accelerated demand in China, Vietnam, South Korea, and the Netherlands, owing to the rapid industrial and manufacturing development in those countries
Thursday, September 8, 2011
Malaysia's trade
Thursday September 8, 2011
M'sian banks see little impact on trade financing from US debt rating downgrade
By SHARIDAN M. ALI
sharidan@thestar.com.myPETALING JAYA: Trade financing business is expected to be impacted by the spiral effects of the foreseen slowdown in Malaysia's major exports, triggered by the recent US debt rating downgrade.
RHB Bank Bhd principal officer Renzo Viegas told StarBiz that within its existing customer base, the direct trade volume to the United States was marginal compared with the Asian region.
“But the greater concern is the indirect impact of trade within Asia which represents more than 80% of our trade volume concentration.
“As some components of the country's export to Asia are part of the supply chain for ultimate exports to the United States, we foresee the negative development in the US will have an impact on our trade with Asia. This probably will be seen in the latter part of the third quarter as consumer demand for the year-end sale is expected to be slower in the US and Western countries,” he said.
Meanwhile, OCBC Bank (Malaysia) Bhd head of global trade finance Thing Tock Kong said Malaysia's direct exports to the United States amounted to about 10% of its total exports.
“However, some of our exports to other countries do eventually end up in the United States, although with lagging effect. So, overall, in reality, more than 10% of our goods are being sold to the United States.
“So far, based on feedback from our clients, there has not been any cancellation or deferment of orders. Thus, we see the immediate impact as minimal.
“However, as an open economy, we would be affected if the crisis in the US were to prolong and become protracted, especially in the case of exports of certain consumer products. The severity of the impact will become clearer as the situation evolves,” he said.
Malaysian Rating Corp Bhd chief economist Nor Zahidi Alias expects Asia's trade performance to be softer in the second half of this year.
“Considering that Malaysia's exposure to the global economy is considerable (exports represent 110% of gross domestic product), the export sector will likely be affected.
“Although Malaysia's exports to the United States have declined in terms of share of total trade, indirect exports (through Asean countries and China) to the United States as well as to other G3 countries are still very significant.
“As such, we are still very much dependent on the strength of G3 economies when it comes to external trade. If the demand from G3 wanes, Malaysia's export performance will also languish,” he said.
G3 nations comprise the United States, Japan and members of the eurozone.
Briefly, trade finance is needed when an exporter requires an importer to prepay for goods shipped. The importer's bank assists by providing a letter of credit to the exporter (or the exporter's bank) providing for payment upon presentation of certain documents, such as a bill of lading.
On the bright side, Viegas said Malaysia's trade with Asia as of June recorded growth of more than 15% year-on-year (y-o-y)and saw higher growth within Asean at 25%.
“Trade with Australia and New Zealand had also posted strong growth. Although the base is still small compared with trade with the West, it will help to cushion some of the impact on declining trade with the West. We still expect growth in trade with some of the Middle Eastern countries and the rebuilding of Japan will to a certain extent help boost the trade business.
“The expected faster pace of development of the Economic Transformation Programme projects next year will also help Malaysian's trade finance business to move in a positive direction,” he said.
Meanwhile, Thing said that Malaysia's exports to China, India and Asean countries stood at about 40% of the total.
“The growing population and wealth of these markets will continue to support our exports,” he said.
Viegas said that as of June this year, RHB's trade finance business, including Islamic trade financing, grew by more 11% y-o-y, which was above the industry's growth of about 9%.
Nevertheless, despite the downgrade in credit rating in August, the United States early this month released some positive economic data that indicated growth in consumption, where orders for cars were at their highest in eight years, and companies in the private sector continued to hire, adding some 90,000 new jobs in August.
Ringgit Little Changed Ahead of Export Data, Policy Rate Review
Malaysia’s ringgit was little changed as economists predicted the central bank will leave borrowing costs unchanged at a review tomorrow as export growth likely slowed.
Overseas shipments rose 6.6 percent from a year earlier in July, after having increased 8.6 percent in June, according to the median forecast of analysts in a Bloomberg survey before official data due later this week. Bank Negara Malaysia will leave its benchmark overnight rate at 3 percent tomorrow, according to all 18 economists in a separate survey. The ringgit has dropped 0.4 percent this month on speculation Europe’s lingering debt crisis will damp demand for emerging-market assets.
“The unresolved crisis in Europe and expectations of slower domestic export growth are weighing on sentiment,” said Akira Banno, a treasury adviser in Kuala Lumpur at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Bhd. “The ringgit is trying to find a comfortable level to settle down.”
The ringgit held at 2.9830 per dollar as of 5:01 p.m. in Kuala Lumpur, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
“There is now a new uncertainty about prospects for recovery and growth across the globe, partly because of the inability of the U.S., Europe and Japan to address their public debt and employment problems,” International Trade and Industry Minister Mustapa Mohamed told reporters in Kuala Lumpur today. This has “affected business and investors confidence around the globe. Our economic fundamentals are strong, healthy and resilient.”
Malaysia’s government bonds gained as a sale calendar shows the treasury will sell November 2016 Islamic notes later this month. The yield on the 4.262 percent securities due September 2016 declined one basis point, or 0.01 percent, at a record low 3.29 percent, according to Bursa Malaysia.
M'sian banks see little impact on trade financing from US debt rating downgrade
By SHARIDAN M. ALI
sharidan@thestar.com.myPETALING JAYA: Trade financing business is expected to be impacted by the spiral effects of the foreseen slowdown in Malaysia's major exports, triggered by the recent US debt rating downgrade.
RHB Bank Bhd principal officer Renzo Viegas told StarBiz that within its existing customer base, the direct trade volume to the United States was marginal compared with the Asian region.
“But the greater concern is the indirect impact of trade within Asia which represents more than 80% of our trade volume concentration.
“As some components of the country's export to Asia are part of the supply chain for ultimate exports to the United States, we foresee the negative development in the US will have an impact on our trade with Asia. This probably will be seen in the latter part of the third quarter as consumer demand for the year-end sale is expected to be slower in the US and Western countries,” he said.
Meanwhile, OCBC Bank (Malaysia) Bhd head of global trade finance Thing Tock Kong said Malaysia's direct exports to the United States amounted to about 10% of its total exports.
“However, some of our exports to other countries do eventually end up in the United States, although with lagging effect. So, overall, in reality, more than 10% of our goods are being sold to the United States.
“So far, based on feedback from our clients, there has not been any cancellation or deferment of orders. Thus, we see the immediate impact as minimal.
“However, as an open economy, we would be affected if the crisis in the US were to prolong and become protracted, especially in the case of exports of certain consumer products. The severity of the impact will become clearer as the situation evolves,” he said.
Malaysian Rating Corp Bhd chief economist Nor Zahidi Alias expects Asia's trade performance to be softer in the second half of this year.
“Considering that Malaysia's exposure to the global economy is considerable (exports represent 110% of gross domestic product), the export sector will likely be affected.
“Although Malaysia's exports to the United States have declined in terms of share of total trade, indirect exports (through Asean countries and China) to the United States as well as to other G3 countries are still very significant.
“As such, we are still very much dependent on the strength of G3 economies when it comes to external trade. If the demand from G3 wanes, Malaysia's export performance will also languish,” he said.
G3 nations comprise the United States, Japan and members of the eurozone.
Briefly, trade finance is needed when an exporter requires an importer to prepay for goods shipped. The importer's bank assists by providing a letter of credit to the exporter (or the exporter's bank) providing for payment upon presentation of certain documents, such as a bill of lading.
On the bright side, Viegas said Malaysia's trade with Asia as of June recorded growth of more than 15% year-on-year (y-o-y)and saw higher growth within Asean at 25%.
“Trade with Australia and New Zealand had also posted strong growth. Although the base is still small compared with trade with the West, it will help to cushion some of the impact on declining trade with the West. We still expect growth in trade with some of the Middle Eastern countries and the rebuilding of Japan will to a certain extent help boost the trade business.
“The expected faster pace of development of the Economic Transformation Programme projects next year will also help Malaysian's trade finance business to move in a positive direction,” he said.
Meanwhile, Thing said that Malaysia's exports to China, India and Asean countries stood at about 40% of the total.
“The growing population and wealth of these markets will continue to support our exports,” he said.
Viegas said that as of June this year, RHB's trade finance business, including Islamic trade financing, grew by more 11% y-o-y, which was above the industry's growth of about 9%.
Nevertheless, despite the downgrade in credit rating in August, the United States early this month released some positive economic data that indicated growth in consumption, where orders for cars were at their highest in eight years, and companies in the private sector continued to hire, adding some 90,000 new jobs in August.
Ringgit Little Changed Ahead of Export Data, Policy Rate Review
Malaysia’s ringgit was little changed as economists predicted the central bank will leave borrowing costs unchanged at a review tomorrow as export growth likely slowed.
Overseas shipments rose 6.6 percent from a year earlier in July, after having increased 8.6 percent in June, according to the median forecast of analysts in a Bloomberg survey before official data due later this week. Bank Negara Malaysia will leave its benchmark overnight rate at 3 percent tomorrow, according to all 18 economists in a separate survey. The ringgit has dropped 0.4 percent this month on speculation Europe’s lingering debt crisis will damp demand for emerging-market assets.
“The unresolved crisis in Europe and expectations of slower domestic export growth are weighing on sentiment,” said Akira Banno, a treasury adviser in Kuala Lumpur at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Bhd. “The ringgit is trying to find a comfortable level to settle down.”
The ringgit held at 2.9830 per dollar as of 5:01 p.m. in Kuala Lumpur, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
“There is now a new uncertainty about prospects for recovery and growth across the globe, partly because of the inability of the U.S., Europe and Japan to address their public debt and employment problems,” International Trade and Industry Minister Mustapa Mohamed told reporters in Kuala Lumpur today. This has “affected business and investors confidence around the globe. Our economic fundamentals are strong, healthy and resilient.”
Malaysia’s government bonds gained as a sale calendar shows the treasury will sell November 2016 Islamic notes later this month. The yield on the 4.262 percent securities due September 2016 declined one basis point, or 0.01 percent, at a record low 3.29 percent, according to Bursa Malaysia.
Saturday, September 3, 2011
July 2011 estimate
The Star -Saturday September 3, 2011
More challenges ahead
By CECILIA KOK
cecilia_kok@thestar.com.my
External trade performance for July would likely show some weaknesses from preceding months
THE week ahead will be an eventful one for Malaysia, with more data for investors to chew on.
The Department of Statistics will release the country's industrial production and external trade data for July 2011. At the same time, Bank Negara's Monetary Policy Committee will meet to decide on the interest rate direction of the country over the next couple of months.
The industrial production index (IPI) a gauge of the manufacturing, mining and electricity output of the country and the external trade data which gauges the net income from import and export activities will provide a glimpse on the impact of the ongoing uncertainties surrounding the global economy on the country's economic growth for the second half of the year.
Indications so far have been less than encouraging. While there is a likelihood that Malaysia's industrial production could expand at a marginal pace, external trade performance for July would likely show further weaknesses compared with the preceding months. The consensus view is that their contributions to the country's gross domestic product (GDP) or the total value of goods and services produced, would likely narrow as we enter the second half of the year.
It is interesting to recall that Malaysia's IPI for June surprisingly grew 1% year-on-year (y-o-y) when most economists and the market were expecting another round of contraction. The surprise June IPI rebound, after a sharp contraction of 5.6% y-o-y in May, was mainly attributable to domestic-oriented manufacturing activities, which seemed to have benefited from the rollout of the Economic Transformation Programme projects.
Contributions from commodity exports expected to be moderate compared with the first half.
If such momentum could be sustained, some economists say, the industrial production figures would likely spring another surprise.
CIMB Research in its previous report explained that while it maintained its cautious outlook on the global economy, especially in the United States and eurozone, there were still factors supporting a continued expansion of Malaysia's industrial output over the short term even though the pace would not be brisk. The research house pointed to the restoration of the global supply chain as one factor that could boost the production of transport equipment as manufacturers start to rebuild inventory, and the ongoing and new infrastructure development projects as the other factor that would underpin domestic-oriented industries.
As for Malaysia's external trade, further weakness is only to be expected due to the sluggish recovery of western developed economies. Although intra-regional trade with other Asian countries, such as China and those in Asean, would likely remain resilient over the medium term, it would unlikely be sufficient to compensate for the general slowdown in global demand for products and services. And with global commodity prices softening in recent months, contributions from commodity exports would likely be moderate compared with the first half of the year.
Gross exports in June rose 8.6% y-o-y, compared with 5.4% y-o-y in May, driven largely by commodity-based products, which had more than compensated for the decline in the electrical and electronics (E&E) sector. Nevertheless, Malaysia's trade balance for June narrowed to RM7.6bil from RM8.5bil in the preceding month as imports had also accelerated at the same time.
TA Research notes that the challenges ahead for Malaysia's overall trade would stem from several factors, including the general slowdown in worldwide demand for manufactured products; the recessionary impulse and moderating growth in Asia, including China; as well as the stronger ringgit which would probably encourage more imports, while making the country's exports more expensive.
CIMB Research further points out that besides the uneven global demand, Malaysia's E&E sector also faced loss of competitiveness in terms of product specialisation. For instance, the rising demand for tablet PCs and smartphones in the global market represented an opportunity lost for Malaysian E&E manufacturers as they were not specialised in the product segment.
This underscores the importance of R&D (research and development) and innovation to a country's economy in order to keep pace with the fast-changing global trends and consumption pattern. Otherwise, one could easily lose competitiveness over time.
In the meantime, internally-generated demand will likely be Malaysia's main source of growth. The good news is domestic consumption will likely be sustained, spurred by private spending, and accelerated private investments resulting from the roll-out of ETP projects over the next six months.
Bank Negara, on the other hand, is expected to keep the benchmark overnight policy rate unchanged at 3% for two more months to create an environment that is supportive of the country's economic growth amid the ongoing challenges in the external environment.
More challenges ahead
By CECILIA KOK
cecilia_kok@thestar.com.my
External trade performance for July would likely show some weaknesses from preceding months
THE week ahead will be an eventful one for Malaysia, with more data for investors to chew on.
The Department of Statistics will release the country's industrial production and external trade data for July 2011. At the same time, Bank Negara's Monetary Policy Committee will meet to decide on the interest rate direction of the country over the next couple of months.
The industrial production index (IPI) a gauge of the manufacturing, mining and electricity output of the country and the external trade data which gauges the net income from import and export activities will provide a glimpse on the impact of the ongoing uncertainties surrounding the global economy on the country's economic growth for the second half of the year.
Indications so far have been less than encouraging. While there is a likelihood that Malaysia's industrial production could expand at a marginal pace, external trade performance for July would likely show further weaknesses compared with the preceding months. The consensus view is that their contributions to the country's gross domestic product (GDP) or the total value of goods and services produced, would likely narrow as we enter the second half of the year.
It is interesting to recall that Malaysia's IPI for June surprisingly grew 1% year-on-year (y-o-y) when most economists and the market were expecting another round of contraction. The surprise June IPI rebound, after a sharp contraction of 5.6% y-o-y in May, was mainly attributable to domestic-oriented manufacturing activities, which seemed to have benefited from the rollout of the Economic Transformation Programme projects.
Contributions from commodity exports expected to be moderate compared with the first half.
If such momentum could be sustained, some economists say, the industrial production figures would likely spring another surprise.
CIMB Research in its previous report explained that while it maintained its cautious outlook on the global economy, especially in the United States and eurozone, there were still factors supporting a continued expansion of Malaysia's industrial output over the short term even though the pace would not be brisk. The research house pointed to the restoration of the global supply chain as one factor that could boost the production of transport equipment as manufacturers start to rebuild inventory, and the ongoing and new infrastructure development projects as the other factor that would underpin domestic-oriented industries.
As for Malaysia's external trade, further weakness is only to be expected due to the sluggish recovery of western developed economies. Although intra-regional trade with other Asian countries, such as China and those in Asean, would likely remain resilient over the medium term, it would unlikely be sufficient to compensate for the general slowdown in global demand for products and services. And with global commodity prices softening in recent months, contributions from commodity exports would likely be moderate compared with the first half of the year.
Gross exports in June rose 8.6% y-o-y, compared with 5.4% y-o-y in May, driven largely by commodity-based products, which had more than compensated for the decline in the electrical and electronics (E&E) sector. Nevertheless, Malaysia's trade balance for June narrowed to RM7.6bil from RM8.5bil in the preceding month as imports had also accelerated at the same time.
TA Research notes that the challenges ahead for Malaysia's overall trade would stem from several factors, including the general slowdown in worldwide demand for manufactured products; the recessionary impulse and moderating growth in Asia, including China; as well as the stronger ringgit which would probably encourage more imports, while making the country's exports more expensive.
CIMB Research further points out that besides the uneven global demand, Malaysia's E&E sector also faced loss of competitiveness in terms of product specialisation. For instance, the rising demand for tablet PCs and smartphones in the global market represented an opportunity lost for Malaysian E&E manufacturers as they were not specialised in the product segment.
This underscores the importance of R&D (research and development) and innovation to a country's economy in order to keep pace with the fast-changing global trends and consumption pattern. Otherwise, one could easily lose competitiveness over time.
In the meantime, internally-generated demand will likely be Malaysia's main source of growth. The good news is domestic consumption will likely be sustained, spurred by private spending, and accelerated private investments resulting from the roll-out of ETP projects over the next six months.
Bank Negara, on the other hand, is expected to keep the benchmark overnight policy rate unchanged at 3% for two more months to create an environment that is supportive of the country's economic growth amid the ongoing challenges in the external environment.
Friday, September 2, 2011
Standard-Energy conservation
Singapore imposes new energy ruling for air-cons, fridges
Written by Joseph Chin of theedgemalaysia.com
Friday, 02 September 2011 16:19
KUALA LUMPUR: The Singapore government has imposed a minimum energy performance standards (MEPS) ruling for all air-conditioners and refrigerators, effective Thursday, Sept 1.
Malaysia External Trade Development Corporation (Matrade) said on Friday, Sept 2 all the air-conditioners and refrigerators, must meet the MEPS as prescribed in the Singapore Government’s Environment Protection and Management (Energy Conservation) regulations.
Matrade said these standards were specified according to the types of goods, cooling capacity (in kW), minimum coefficient of performance, adjusted volume and maximum annual energy consumption (in kW).
“All Malaysian manufacturers and exporters who supply household air-conditioners and refrigerators in Singapore must register themselves with country’s National Environment Agency (NEA).
“They also must register their air-conditioner and refrigerator models which need to carry a Certificate of Registration that is valid for three years. Once this policy comes into force, all importers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers, property developers and contractors must ensure that their units are affixed with the NEA’s energy label,” it said.
Matrade advised all Malaysian exporters and manufacturers to comply immediately with the new required standards to ensure continued market access for their products in Singapore.
It also advised Malaysian companies to be wary of the possible additional cost to be incurred following the implementation of the standard.
“Apart from the registration fee which is currently at S$34 and renewal fees at S$18 for each registrable product, additional costs will be incurred when carrying out the necessary tests at the approved testing laboratories,” it said
Written by Joseph Chin of theedgemalaysia.com
Friday, 02 September 2011 16:19
KUALA LUMPUR: The Singapore government has imposed a minimum energy performance standards (MEPS) ruling for all air-conditioners and refrigerators, effective Thursday, Sept 1.
Malaysia External Trade Development Corporation (Matrade) said on Friday, Sept 2 all the air-conditioners and refrigerators, must meet the MEPS as prescribed in the Singapore Government’s Environment Protection and Management (Energy Conservation) regulations.
Matrade said these standards were specified according to the types of goods, cooling capacity (in kW), minimum coefficient of performance, adjusted volume and maximum annual energy consumption (in kW).
“All Malaysian manufacturers and exporters who supply household air-conditioners and refrigerators in Singapore must register themselves with country’s National Environment Agency (NEA).
“They also must register their air-conditioner and refrigerator models which need to carry a Certificate of Registration that is valid for three years. Once this policy comes into force, all importers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers, property developers and contractors must ensure that their units are affixed with the NEA’s energy label,” it said.
Matrade advised all Malaysian exporters and manufacturers to comply immediately with the new required standards to ensure continued market access for their products in Singapore.
It also advised Malaysian companies to be wary of the possible additional cost to be incurred following the implementation of the standard.
“Apart from the registration fee which is currently at S$34 and renewal fees at S$18 for each registrable product, additional costs will be incurred when carrying out the necessary tests at the approved testing laboratories,” it said
July 2011 -Forecast
The Star –commodities should again lead Malaysia’s exports
Friday September 2, 2011
Commodities should again lead Malaysia’s exports
By FINTAN NG
fintan@thestar.com.my
PETALING JAYA: Demand for commodities from China and India will remain the main pillar of support for Malaysia's exports in July as in the previous month with the export-reliant manufacturing sector continuing to feel the impact from a drop in sales of consumer electric and electronic (E&E) goods from the United States and Europe.
Commodity exports account for roughly 40% of the country's exports.
According to Singapore-based economists, the exports front would remain volatile with July's data to mirror June's to a certain extent although exports could weaken further in August based on commodity futures prices, which have trended downward in recent months.
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp Ltd economist Gundy Cahyadi told StarBiz that exports would be held up by commodities but the pace of growth could be slower compared with June.
“This is quite clear cut for exporters in Asean and this will likely be the case for Malaysia too,” he said, adding that the high proportion of commodities in Malaysia and Indonesia's exports had provided a buffer for exports.
Gundy said the rise in commodity exports must also be put into perspective as prior to the recent decline in prices, commodity prices were rising year-on-year, which in turn had lent support to exporters such as Malaysia.
For June, exports climbed 8.6% year-on-year compared with May's 5.4%, higher than a Bloomberg survey for a 5.8% rise. The growth in exports was largely due to intra-regional trade in commodities.
Gundy said although commodity prices were less price-sensitive compared with manufactured goods, this did not mean that prices would not come down should global growth slowed further.
United Overseas Bank Ltd economist Ho Woei Chen said consumer demand and infrastructure development in China would still be the best bet for Asean's export-reliant economies. “This is because China should not have a problem sustaining growth at between 8% and 9%,” she added.
However, Ho believes that Malaysia's exports could face even more challenges ahead as commodity futures have trended downwards in recent months. “This will impact August's export numbers as forward manufacturing indicators such as the industrial production index (measuring factory output) will still be low,” she said.
Meanwhile, Forecast Pte Ltd economist Radhika Rao said E&E exports would likely underperform in the second half of the year in lockstep with the regional trends as structural changes would see need for higher value-added E&E products.
“Our estimates for July are 7.4% year-on-year rise in exports, 5.6% growth in imports which should see the trade surplus widen to RM8.4bil. Trends for the third quarter should also hold up well as Japan steps up demand after the disasters earlier in the year,” she said.
Radhika said fortunately for Malaysian exporters, nearly 60% of total shipments went to intra-Asian trade with China and India making up nearly 17% of total purchases.
“This should again lend some support for the headline exports, though that is not to mean it will be completely shielded from pullback in demand from the West,” she said.
The commodity-exports angle was still in favour of the economy, given the products' relative price-inelasticity, she added.
“Overall while Malaysia is partly shielded, marked weakness in key Western markets, especially the United States and Japan, will hurt local exporters. A firmer ringgit is also an additional burden,” he said.
Friday September 2, 2011
Commodities should again lead Malaysia’s exports
By FINTAN NG
fintan@thestar.com.my
PETALING JAYA: Demand for commodities from China and India will remain the main pillar of support for Malaysia's exports in July as in the previous month with the export-reliant manufacturing sector continuing to feel the impact from a drop in sales of consumer electric and electronic (E&E) goods from the United States and Europe.
Commodity exports account for roughly 40% of the country's exports.
According to Singapore-based economists, the exports front would remain volatile with July's data to mirror June's to a certain extent although exports could weaken further in August based on commodity futures prices, which have trended downward in recent months.
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp Ltd economist Gundy Cahyadi told StarBiz that exports would be held up by commodities but the pace of growth could be slower compared with June.
“This is quite clear cut for exporters in Asean and this will likely be the case for Malaysia too,” he said, adding that the high proportion of commodities in Malaysia and Indonesia's exports had provided a buffer for exports.
Gundy said the rise in commodity exports must also be put into perspective as prior to the recent decline in prices, commodity prices were rising year-on-year, which in turn had lent support to exporters such as Malaysia.
For June, exports climbed 8.6% year-on-year compared with May's 5.4%, higher than a Bloomberg survey for a 5.8% rise. The growth in exports was largely due to intra-regional trade in commodities.
Gundy said although commodity prices were less price-sensitive compared with manufactured goods, this did not mean that prices would not come down should global growth slowed further.
United Overseas Bank Ltd economist Ho Woei Chen said consumer demand and infrastructure development in China would still be the best bet for Asean's export-reliant economies. “This is because China should not have a problem sustaining growth at between 8% and 9%,” she added.
However, Ho believes that Malaysia's exports could face even more challenges ahead as commodity futures have trended downwards in recent months. “This will impact August's export numbers as forward manufacturing indicators such as the industrial production index (measuring factory output) will still be low,” she said.
Meanwhile, Forecast Pte Ltd economist Radhika Rao said E&E exports would likely underperform in the second half of the year in lockstep with the regional trends as structural changes would see need for higher value-added E&E products.
“Our estimates for July are 7.4% year-on-year rise in exports, 5.6% growth in imports which should see the trade surplus widen to RM8.4bil. Trends for the third quarter should also hold up well as Japan steps up demand after the disasters earlier in the year,” she said.
Radhika said fortunately for Malaysian exporters, nearly 60% of total shipments went to intra-Asian trade with China and India making up nearly 17% of total purchases.
“This should again lend some support for the headline exports, though that is not to mean it will be completely shielded from pullback in demand from the West,” she said.
The commodity-exports angle was still in favour of the economy, given the products' relative price-inelasticity, she added.
“Overall while Malaysia is partly shielded, marked weakness in key Western markets, especially the United States and Japan, will hurt local exporters. A firmer ringgit is also an additional burden,” he said.
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Trade in February 2011
star
Wednesday April 6, 2011
Exports up in February on E&E, commodities
Growth at 10.7% to RM51.85bil beats economists’ forecast of 5%
PETALING JAYA: The country's exports grew 10.7% to RM51.85bil in February compared with a year ago largely due to higher exports of electrical and electronic (E&E) products and commodities.
Exports growth was revised to 4.6% in January.
The growth in February beat a 5% median estimate in a Bloomberg economists' forecast.
Imports expanded by 11.5% to RM39.21bil, resulting in a total trade of RM91.06bil, an increase of 11% from the corresponding month in 2010.
However, on a month-on-month basis, exports decreased by 5.5% while imports contracted by 12.6% and total trade declined by 8.7%.
Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd economist Wan Suhaimie Saidi told StarBiz that the pace of growth in exports would not sustain due to external headwinds.
“We're not out of the woods yet, the exports-driven economy is still susceptible to a slowdown due to a protracted increase in crude oil prices and the anticipated temporary drop in demand from Japan due to the earthquake,” he added.
Wan Suhaimie said exports growth would only come in the second-half of the year with an increase in demand from Japan as the government begin reconstruction of devastated parts in north-east Honshu coasts.
ECM Libra Capital Sdn Bhd economist Michelle Chia said in an e-mail reply that the Chinese New Year period had likely put a dent on February exports.
“In isolation, it may seem that exports cratered in February. However, exports typically soften during the Chinese New Year month, which fell earlier this year than in 2010,” she said, adding that this distortion likely pulled exports forward to January.
Chia said one way of bypassing the Chinese New Year distortion was to look at year-to-date year-on-year export growth, which increased 7.5%.
She said the country's export growth had been in a bottoming trend and there were expectations for exports to grow steadily this year.
“Nonetheless, the fallout from Japan Malaysia's third-largest export destination and a stronger ringgit may put pressure on exports, especially manufactured goods,” Chia pointed out.
International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said in a Statistics Department preliminary release yesterday that China, Singapore, Japan, the United States and Hong Kong were the top five export destinations, accounting for 49.4% of Malaysia's total exports in February.
He said exports to Asean was valued at RM12.36bil, accounting for 23.8% of the country's total exports in February but declined marginally from a year ago due to lower exports of crude petroleum, E&E products, petroleum products as well as iron and steel products
Business
Malaysia’s February export beats forecast
Apr 05, 2011
KUALA LUMPUR, April 5 — Malaysia’s annual export growth rose 10.7 per cent in February, beating market expectations, although economists said the growth trend may not sustain due to the impact of the Japan earthquake on the global economy.
The headline figure was more than double analysts’ forecast for a five per cent rise in a Reuters poll.
ANALYST COMMENT
ALAN TAN, ECONOMIST, AFFIN INVESTMENT BANK
“The numbers came in way above ours as well as the market expectation, partly due to lower base in the corresponding period of last year. The sharper than expected pickup is due to the turnaround in electrical and electronics (E&E) exports, which have been declining for the past six consecutive months.
“However, we believe that the strength of exports in February will likely slow in the months ahead due to the negative impact from Japan, which has already started to slow down global economic growth as reflected in the monthly PMI (purchasing managers index) number. The global PMI number slowed from 57.4 in February to 55.8 in March.
“We don’t expect the 10 per cent to be sustained in the first half of this year. We expect the central bank to raise the OPR rate in the next monetary policy meeting on May 5 by 25 basis points together with a one per cent increase in the statutory reserve rate due mostly to inflationary pressure.”
JOANNA TAN, ECONOMIST, FORECAST PTE LTD
“The firmer headline for exports was within our expectations as a low base supported. In the coming months, we should see Malaysian exports supported on commodities especially now with the energy shortage and rebuilding efforts in Japan lifting demand for fossil-based fuel.
“No doubt the electronics and electrical goods sector could be hampered by the production disruption in Japan but impact will be modest and short-term.”
GUNDY CAHYADI, ECONOMIST, OCBC BANK
“Two things are likely to have been at work that have lifted this export growth number. Firstly, the low base effects provide some distortionary impact to the number, but the more important reason could have been the fact that Malaysia benefits from higher commodity prices.
“As far as the economy’s growth prospect is concerned, we won’t be too hasty into changing our outlook, given the uncertainties if this strength in February proves to be one-off.”
ALVIN LIEW, ECONOMIST, STANDARD CHARTERED BANK
“The stronger than expected export growth recorded in February is certainly a positive surprise for Malaysia especially given the Chinese New Year holidays falling on the early part of February. Exports to China were one of the main factors underpinning the strength in Feb exports. Excluding Singapore, China became the top export destination for Malaysia since 2010, underlying the importance of China for the Malaysian economy.”
“Going forward, it will be important to watch the exports data in the coming months to see how the impact of the Japan earthquake (on March 11) will import on the Malaysia export sector. Commodities (such as LNG, crude oil and timber) should see higher demand while electronics exports may be negatively affected due to some supply disruptions for Japanese components.”
MARKET REACTION
The main stock index closed down 0.2 per cent for the midday break ahead of the data release. The ringgit was unchanged at 3.0265 per dollar after the data release. — Reuters
Malaysia's Feb exports up 10.7pc
2011/04/05
Malaysia’s exports rose at the fastest pace in seven months in February as manufacturers shipped more electronics as well as oil and gas products to customers in Hong Kong and Japan.
Overseas sales climbed 10.7 per cent to RM51.8 billion (US$17 billion) from a year earlier after gaining a revised 4.6 per cent in January, according to a trade ministry statement in Kuala Lumpur today. That was twice the 5 per cent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 18 economists.
Malaysia, an oil and gas exporter and the world’s second- biggest palm oil producer, may benefit from rising commodity prices even as an easing in the global recovery and Japan’s March 11 earthquake threaten to cool demand for Asian goods.
Singapore’s export growth slowed more than economists predicted in February as electronics shipments fell after the Lunar New Year curbed demand from China for parts.
“Global exports demand does seem to be continuing on an uptrend,” David Cohen, a Singapore-based economist for Action Economics, said in a phone interview after today’s report. Malaysia’s February exports growth “is consistent with data around the region showing a sustained momentum going into 2011.”
Shipments were above forecast as some economists may have miscalculated the negative impact of the Lunar New Year public holiday period, Cohen said.
Exports to Japan surged 28.5 per cent from a year ago as demand rose for liquefied natural gas produced by companies like Petroliam Nasional Bhd. Malaysia’s exports to Hong Kong jumped 30.8 per cent in February from a year earlier on higher electronics demand.
Malaysia’s imports in February rose 11.5 per cent to RM39.21 billion from a year earlier. The trade surplus widened to RM12.64 billion from RM9.99 billion in January. -- Bloomberg
Wednesday April 6, 2011
Exports up in February on E&E, commodities
Growth at 10.7% to RM51.85bil beats economists’ forecast of 5%
PETALING JAYA: The country's exports grew 10.7% to RM51.85bil in February compared with a year ago largely due to higher exports of electrical and electronic (E&E) products and commodities.
Exports growth was revised to 4.6% in January.
The growth in February beat a 5% median estimate in a Bloomberg economists' forecast.
Imports expanded by 11.5% to RM39.21bil, resulting in a total trade of RM91.06bil, an increase of 11% from the corresponding month in 2010.
However, on a month-on-month basis, exports decreased by 5.5% while imports contracted by 12.6% and total trade declined by 8.7%.
Kenanga Investment Bank Bhd economist Wan Suhaimie Saidi told StarBiz that the pace of growth in exports would not sustain due to external headwinds.
“We're not out of the woods yet, the exports-driven economy is still susceptible to a slowdown due to a protracted increase in crude oil prices and the anticipated temporary drop in demand from Japan due to the earthquake,” he added.
Wan Suhaimie said exports growth would only come in the second-half of the year with an increase in demand from Japan as the government begin reconstruction of devastated parts in north-east Honshu coasts.
ECM Libra Capital Sdn Bhd economist Michelle Chia said in an e-mail reply that the Chinese New Year period had likely put a dent on February exports.
“In isolation, it may seem that exports cratered in February. However, exports typically soften during the Chinese New Year month, which fell earlier this year than in 2010,” she said, adding that this distortion likely pulled exports forward to January.
Chia said one way of bypassing the Chinese New Year distortion was to look at year-to-date year-on-year export growth, which increased 7.5%.
She said the country's export growth had been in a bottoming trend and there were expectations for exports to grow steadily this year.
“Nonetheless, the fallout from Japan Malaysia's third-largest export destination and a stronger ringgit may put pressure on exports, especially manufactured goods,” Chia pointed out.
International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said in a Statistics Department preliminary release yesterday that China, Singapore, Japan, the United States and Hong Kong were the top five export destinations, accounting for 49.4% of Malaysia's total exports in February.
He said exports to Asean was valued at RM12.36bil, accounting for 23.8% of the country's total exports in February but declined marginally from a year ago due to lower exports of crude petroleum, E&E products, petroleum products as well as iron and steel products
Business
Malaysia’s February export beats forecast
Apr 05, 2011
KUALA LUMPUR, April 5 — Malaysia’s annual export growth rose 10.7 per cent in February, beating market expectations, although economists said the growth trend may not sustain due to the impact of the Japan earthquake on the global economy.
The headline figure was more than double analysts’ forecast for a five per cent rise in a Reuters poll.
ANALYST COMMENT
ALAN TAN, ECONOMIST, AFFIN INVESTMENT BANK
“The numbers came in way above ours as well as the market expectation, partly due to lower base in the corresponding period of last year. The sharper than expected pickup is due to the turnaround in electrical and electronics (E&E) exports, which have been declining for the past six consecutive months.
“However, we believe that the strength of exports in February will likely slow in the months ahead due to the negative impact from Japan, which has already started to slow down global economic growth as reflected in the monthly PMI (purchasing managers index) number. The global PMI number slowed from 57.4 in February to 55.8 in March.
“We don’t expect the 10 per cent to be sustained in the first half of this year. We expect the central bank to raise the OPR rate in the next monetary policy meeting on May 5 by 25 basis points together with a one per cent increase in the statutory reserve rate due mostly to inflationary pressure.”
JOANNA TAN, ECONOMIST, FORECAST PTE LTD
“The firmer headline for exports was within our expectations as a low base supported. In the coming months, we should see Malaysian exports supported on commodities especially now with the energy shortage and rebuilding efforts in Japan lifting demand for fossil-based fuel.
“No doubt the electronics and electrical goods sector could be hampered by the production disruption in Japan but impact will be modest and short-term.”
GUNDY CAHYADI, ECONOMIST, OCBC BANK
“Two things are likely to have been at work that have lifted this export growth number. Firstly, the low base effects provide some distortionary impact to the number, but the more important reason could have been the fact that Malaysia benefits from higher commodity prices.
“As far as the economy’s growth prospect is concerned, we won’t be too hasty into changing our outlook, given the uncertainties if this strength in February proves to be one-off.”
ALVIN LIEW, ECONOMIST, STANDARD CHARTERED BANK
“The stronger than expected export growth recorded in February is certainly a positive surprise for Malaysia especially given the Chinese New Year holidays falling on the early part of February. Exports to China were one of the main factors underpinning the strength in Feb exports. Excluding Singapore, China became the top export destination for Malaysia since 2010, underlying the importance of China for the Malaysian economy.”
“Going forward, it will be important to watch the exports data in the coming months to see how the impact of the Japan earthquake (on March 11) will import on the Malaysia export sector. Commodities (such as LNG, crude oil and timber) should see higher demand while electronics exports may be negatively affected due to some supply disruptions for Japanese components.”
MARKET REACTION
The main stock index closed down 0.2 per cent for the midday break ahead of the data release. The ringgit was unchanged at 3.0265 per dollar after the data release. — Reuters
Malaysia's Feb exports up 10.7pc
2011/04/05
Malaysia’s exports rose at the fastest pace in seven months in February as manufacturers shipped more electronics as well as oil and gas products to customers in Hong Kong and Japan.
Overseas sales climbed 10.7 per cent to RM51.8 billion (US$17 billion) from a year earlier after gaining a revised 4.6 per cent in January, according to a trade ministry statement in Kuala Lumpur today. That was twice the 5 per cent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 18 economists.
Malaysia, an oil and gas exporter and the world’s second- biggest palm oil producer, may benefit from rising commodity prices even as an easing in the global recovery and Japan’s March 11 earthquake threaten to cool demand for Asian goods.
Singapore’s export growth slowed more than economists predicted in February as electronics shipments fell after the Lunar New Year curbed demand from China for parts.
“Global exports demand does seem to be continuing on an uptrend,” David Cohen, a Singapore-based economist for Action Economics, said in a phone interview after today’s report. Malaysia’s February exports growth “is consistent with data around the region showing a sustained momentum going into 2011.”
Shipments were above forecast as some economists may have miscalculated the negative impact of the Lunar New Year public holiday period, Cohen said.
Exports to Japan surged 28.5 per cent from a year ago as demand rose for liquefied natural gas produced by companies like Petroliam Nasional Bhd. Malaysia’s exports to Hong Kong jumped 30.8 per cent in February from a year earlier on higher electronics demand.
Malaysia’s imports in February rose 11.5 per cent to RM39.21 billion from a year earlier. The trade surplus widened to RM12.64 billion from RM9.99 billion in January. -- Bloomberg
Friday, March 11, 2011
Trade in January 2011
Malaysia Jan exports lower than expected
By Rupa Damodaran
rupabanerji@nstp.com.my
2011/03/05
EXPORTS slowed in January, dragged by the dull demand for Malaysia's electrical and electronics (E&E) products from its major markets like the US.
The lower-than-expected exports, imports and trade balance were also due to the Chinese New Year.
The International Trade and Industry Ministry (Miti) yesterday said total exports had risen by 3 per cent to RM54.04 billion compared with a year ago, while imports had grown 13.5 per cent to RM44.85 billion, resulting in a total trade of RM98.89 billion.
Compared with December 2010, overall exports, imports and total trade in January 2011 had decreased by 5.5 per cent.
Miti attributed the increase in exports in January to refined petroleum products, palm oil, crude petroleum, transport equipment, crude rubber, chemicals and chemical products, machinery, appliances and parts, rubber products and liquefied natural gas.
While exports to Asean, which accounted for 25.6 per cent of total exports, increased by 4.3 per cent, exports to China decreased by by 13.5 per cent.
Exports to Japan increased by 4.9 per cent mainly due to higher exports of crude petroleum, non-metallic mineral products, chemicals and chemical products, palm oil and LNG.
Exports to the European Union (EU) rose 4.3 per cent on higher orders for palm oil, crude rubber, manufactures of metal as well as optical and scientific equipment.
Exports to the US dipped 7.5 per cent, mainly due to slower sales of E&E products.
Imports in January grew by 13.5 per cent, mainly due to higher imports of intermediate goods (which form 69.4 per cent of total imports).
Bank of America Merrill Lynch economist Dr Chua Hak Bin described Malaysia's export growth as lacklustre. Malaysia's was behind regional countries, including Indonesia (24.7 per cent), Thailand (22.3 per cent), Singapore (20.9 per cent), Korea (17.9 per cent for February) and Taiwan (16.6 per cent).
"Electronic exports, in particular, are underperforming, contracting 19 per cent from a year ago," Chua noted.
HSBC Bank economists Wellian Wiranto and Namrata Mittal pointed out that exports of the mainstay electrical and electronic products had shown a discernible slowdown, pulling in just over RM17 billion in January, compared to a minimum of RM19.2 billion in the last six months of 2010.
They said that although Malaysia, as an exporter of crude oil, had shown receipts of about RM3 billion - higher than the previous months, it is unlikely to challenge the primacy of electronic goods in the country's export sector any time soon.
Exports are expected to increase in 2H2011
Written by admin on March 8th, 2011. Posted in Company Financial
Bursa Malaysia: Despite a slow start in January 2011, Malaysian exports is expected to rebound in coming months before picking up in the second half of the year.According to economists, the expected rebound in exports is due to improved consumer demand in the U.S. and arrival at the end of the credit to China tightening.According RESEARCH AND RHB chief chief economist Lim Chee Sing, numbers of exports from Malaysia to see an upward trend in coming months. January exports were relatively weak, registering a 3% year on year (yoy) growth years, compared with 4.6% in December 2010.
The contraction was mainly due to falling demand in the electrical and electronic (E & E), which constituted almost 40% of total exports. The fall in demand for E & E products is expected, since (the application) was a downward trend after the peak in 2H2010 due to the global situation (which vi) The tightening of credit policies in China and the debt crisis in Europe. However, I think it has reached the output queue before the consolidation in 2H2011, told The Edge Financial Daily.
He said Malaysia’s exports are expected to register nearly 6% growth in 1H2011, before sustaining a higher growth of 14% in 2H2011.This could be slightly on the optimistic side.
However, the recovery in the U.S. has accumulated with the best consumer spending in 4Q2010 due in part to quantitative easing. Jobs have also been increasing an average of 110,000 jobs created each month since January 2010. This has led to greater spending, leading to greater demand for products, said Lim. Lim added that the recovery was also building in Europe with the economically strong countries like Germany, France, Poland and provide a good mattress & # XF3 n debt plunged Greece, Espanaye Portugal.
As to China, demand for exports increased slightly in 4Q2010 despite the political credit crunch policies, and should gain momentum in 2H2011, he said.
Last Friday, the Ministry of International Trade and Industry announced that exports in January was down 3% yoy, from 4.6% a month earlier. The slowdown was mainly due to sluggish demand for E & E products, which contracted by 19% in January. E & E accounted for 32% of total exports in January.
E CIMB Research said Malaysia’s exports and E had fallen to a faster pace, compared with other countries that were still in positive growth territory. This raises the question of whether Malaysia is losing market share in this product group. There are indications that China is buying less of Malaysia, since it produces more for their own consumption, he said.
Exports of E & E products fell 19% yoy in January, compared with China’s growth of 32.3% and 18.3% in Korea. CIMB Research also said exports of electronics would face a tough road ahead, given the slow RECOVERY No demand, citing forecasts of Gartner Inc., 4.6% increase in semiconductor sales worldwide in 2011 from 31.5% in 2010.
However, kept its growth estimate of 8.5% for the year as the industrial and export activities are expected to be volatile due to seasonal demand and work shorter days 1T.
Meanwhile, K & N Kenanga Research said exports are expected to remain between 3% and 7% in 1H2011, compared with 26.1% a year earlier.
It the non-E & E, such as crude oil and palm oil grew by 18.2% in January, compared with 12.6% the previous month, due to the products b & # XE1, musicians and favorable oil prices amid lower export volume.
He added that exports of crude oil rose 21.8% in January compared with a contraction of 28.8% in the chaos that December.The Tunisia started in late December led to some supply concerns, which (in turn), led in part to increased demand for crude oil in the month January. The same rationale could be used to increase exports of refined petroleum products, K & N Kenanga Research said. With some of our major trading partners in Asia, including China, struggling to control inflaci
By Rupa Damodaran
rupabanerji@nstp.com.my
2011/03/05
EXPORTS slowed in January, dragged by the dull demand for Malaysia's electrical and electronics (E&E) products from its major markets like the US.
The lower-than-expected exports, imports and trade balance were also due to the Chinese New Year.
The International Trade and Industry Ministry (Miti) yesterday said total exports had risen by 3 per cent to RM54.04 billion compared with a year ago, while imports had grown 13.5 per cent to RM44.85 billion, resulting in a total trade of RM98.89 billion.
Compared with December 2010, overall exports, imports and total trade in January 2011 had decreased by 5.5 per cent.
Miti attributed the increase in exports in January to refined petroleum products, palm oil, crude petroleum, transport equipment, crude rubber, chemicals and chemical products, machinery, appliances and parts, rubber products and liquefied natural gas.
While exports to Asean, which accounted for 25.6 per cent of total exports, increased by 4.3 per cent, exports to China decreased by by 13.5 per cent.
Exports to Japan increased by 4.9 per cent mainly due to higher exports of crude petroleum, non-metallic mineral products, chemicals and chemical products, palm oil and LNG.
Exports to the European Union (EU) rose 4.3 per cent on higher orders for palm oil, crude rubber, manufactures of metal as well as optical and scientific equipment.
Exports to the US dipped 7.5 per cent, mainly due to slower sales of E&E products.
Imports in January grew by 13.5 per cent, mainly due to higher imports of intermediate goods (which form 69.4 per cent of total imports).
Bank of America Merrill Lynch economist Dr Chua Hak Bin described Malaysia's export growth as lacklustre. Malaysia's was behind regional countries, including Indonesia (24.7 per cent), Thailand (22.3 per cent), Singapore (20.9 per cent), Korea (17.9 per cent for February) and Taiwan (16.6 per cent).
"Electronic exports, in particular, are underperforming, contracting 19 per cent from a year ago," Chua noted.
HSBC Bank economists Wellian Wiranto and Namrata Mittal pointed out that exports of the mainstay electrical and electronic products had shown a discernible slowdown, pulling in just over RM17 billion in January, compared to a minimum of RM19.2 billion in the last six months of 2010.
They said that although Malaysia, as an exporter of crude oil, had shown receipts of about RM3 billion - higher than the previous months, it is unlikely to challenge the primacy of electronic goods in the country's export sector any time soon.
Exports are expected to increase in 2H2011
Written by admin on March 8th, 2011. Posted in Company Financial
Bursa Malaysia: Despite a slow start in January 2011, Malaysian exports is expected to rebound in coming months before picking up in the second half of the year.According to economists, the expected rebound in exports is due to improved consumer demand in the U.S. and arrival at the end of the credit to China tightening.According RESEARCH AND RHB chief chief economist Lim Chee Sing, numbers of exports from Malaysia to see an upward trend in coming months. January exports were relatively weak, registering a 3% year on year (yoy) growth years, compared with 4.6% in December 2010.
The contraction was mainly due to falling demand in the electrical and electronic (E & E), which constituted almost 40% of total exports. The fall in demand for E & E products is expected, since (the application) was a downward trend after the peak in 2H2010 due to the global situation (which vi) The tightening of credit policies in China and the debt crisis in Europe. However, I think it has reached the output queue before the consolidation in 2H2011, told The Edge Financial Daily.
He said Malaysia’s exports are expected to register nearly 6% growth in 1H2011, before sustaining a higher growth of 14% in 2H2011.This could be slightly on the optimistic side.
However, the recovery in the U.S. has accumulated with the best consumer spending in 4Q2010 due in part to quantitative easing. Jobs have also been increasing an average of 110,000 jobs created each month since January 2010. This has led to greater spending, leading to greater demand for products, said Lim. Lim added that the recovery was also building in Europe with the economically strong countries like Germany, France, Poland and provide a good mattress & # XF3 n debt plunged Greece, Espanaye Portugal.
As to China, demand for exports increased slightly in 4Q2010 despite the political credit crunch policies, and should gain momentum in 2H2011, he said.
Last Friday, the Ministry of International Trade and Industry announced that exports in January was down 3% yoy, from 4.6% a month earlier. The slowdown was mainly due to sluggish demand for E & E products, which contracted by 19% in January. E & E accounted for 32% of total exports in January.
E CIMB Research said Malaysia’s exports and E had fallen to a faster pace, compared with other countries that were still in positive growth territory. This raises the question of whether Malaysia is losing market share in this product group. There are indications that China is buying less of Malaysia, since it produces more for their own consumption, he said.
Exports of E & E products fell 19% yoy in January, compared with China’s growth of 32.3% and 18.3% in Korea. CIMB Research also said exports of electronics would face a tough road ahead, given the slow RECOVERY No demand, citing forecasts of Gartner Inc., 4.6% increase in semiconductor sales worldwide in 2011 from 31.5% in 2010.
However, kept its growth estimate of 8.5% for the year as the industrial and export activities are expected to be volatile due to seasonal demand and work shorter days 1T.
Meanwhile, K & N Kenanga Research said exports are expected to remain between 3% and 7% in 1H2011, compared with 26.1% a year earlier.
It the non-E & E, such as crude oil and palm oil grew by 18.2% in January, compared with 12.6% the previous month, due to the products b & # XE1, musicians and favorable oil prices amid lower export volume.
He added that exports of crude oil rose 21.8% in January compared with a contraction of 28.8% in the chaos that December.The Tunisia started in late December led to some supply concerns, which (in turn), led in part to increased demand for crude oil in the month January. The same rationale could be used to increase exports of refined petroleum products, K & N Kenanga Research said. With some of our major trading partners in Asia, including China, struggling to control inflaci
Thursday, February 3, 2011
Trade in December 2010
Malaysia's total trade jumps to RM1.17tril
By Azlan Abu Bakar
alan@nstp.com.my
2011/02/03
MALAYSIA'S trade rebounded in 2010 to register impressive 18.3 per cent growth, backed by the global economic recovery that had boosted demand for both manufactured goods and commodities.
Total trade dropped 16.5 per cent in the previous year.
International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said total trade last year had breached the RM1 trillion mark to reach RM1.17 trillion, almost matching the pre-crisis level of RM1.183 trillion recorded in 2008.
He said exports had expanded by 15.6 per cent to RM639.43 billion, while imports had grown by 21.7 per cent to RM529.19 billion for a trade surplus of RM110.23 billion.
"The growth in exports was supported by the ministry and its agencies through extensive promotion and outreach programmes which were aimed at encouraging the private sector to take advantage of the opportunities presented by the recovery of the global economy," he added.
Mustapa said the programmes and activities introduced included capacity building programmes, certification and compliance to standards, adoption of best practices, export promotion and utilisation of preferential schemes.
He said the utilisation of preferential schemes under free trade agreements (FTA) also contributed to the growth in Malaysia's exports.
Releasing the trade data yesterday, Mustapa said the country's total exports in December alone had increased by 4.6 per cent to RM57.16 billion compared with December 2009 figures.
"This was the highest export value ever recorded for the month of December," he said.
Imports for the month expanded by 11.5 per cent to RM47.48 billion, resulting in total trade of RM104.64 billion, an increase of 7.6 per cent from the corresponding month in 2009.
This resulted in a trade surplus of RM9.69 billion, making it the 158th consecutive month of trade surplus since November 1997.
"Compared with November 2010, exports in December 2010 increased by 8.5 per cent, while imports expanded by 8.6 per cent and total trade was 8.6 per cent higher," he said.
Total trade in the fourth quarter last year was RM304.15 billion, an increase of 3 per cent compared with the third quarter of 2010.
Exports expanded by 3.8 per cent to RM164.84 billion, while imports grew by 2.1 per cent to RM139.30 billion.
Mustapa said moving forward, focusing on the 10th Malaysia Plan (10MP) and National Key Economic Areas, trade promotion programmes for 2011 will be intensified to generate greater export growth.
Under the 10MP, exports are projected to grow at 10.6 per cent per year and gross exports to nearly double to RM2.19 trillion in 2015.
By Azlan Abu Bakar
alan@nstp.com.my
2011/02/03
MALAYSIA'S trade rebounded in 2010 to register impressive 18.3 per cent growth, backed by the global economic recovery that had boosted demand for both manufactured goods and commodities.
Total trade dropped 16.5 per cent in the previous year.
International Trade and Industry Minister Datuk Seri Mustapa Mohamed said total trade last year had breached the RM1 trillion mark to reach RM1.17 trillion, almost matching the pre-crisis level of RM1.183 trillion recorded in 2008.
He said exports had expanded by 15.6 per cent to RM639.43 billion, while imports had grown by 21.7 per cent to RM529.19 billion for a trade surplus of RM110.23 billion.
"The growth in exports was supported by the ministry and its agencies through extensive promotion and outreach programmes which were aimed at encouraging the private sector to take advantage of the opportunities presented by the recovery of the global economy," he added.
Mustapa said the programmes and activities introduced included capacity building programmes, certification and compliance to standards, adoption of best practices, export promotion and utilisation of preferential schemes.
He said the utilisation of preferential schemes under free trade agreements (FTA) also contributed to the growth in Malaysia's exports.
Releasing the trade data yesterday, Mustapa said the country's total exports in December alone had increased by 4.6 per cent to RM57.16 billion compared with December 2009 figures.
"This was the highest export value ever recorded for the month of December," he said.
Imports for the month expanded by 11.5 per cent to RM47.48 billion, resulting in total trade of RM104.64 billion, an increase of 7.6 per cent from the corresponding month in 2009.
This resulted in a trade surplus of RM9.69 billion, making it the 158th consecutive month of trade surplus since November 1997.
"Compared with November 2010, exports in December 2010 increased by 8.5 per cent, while imports expanded by 8.6 per cent and total trade was 8.6 per cent higher," he said.
Total trade in the fourth quarter last year was RM304.15 billion, an increase of 3 per cent compared with the third quarter of 2010.
Exports expanded by 3.8 per cent to RM164.84 billion, while imports grew by 2.1 per cent to RM139.30 billion.
Mustapa said moving forward, focusing on the 10th Malaysia Plan (10MP) and National Key Economic Areas, trade promotion programmes for 2011 will be intensified to generate greater export growth.
Under the 10MP, exports are projected to grow at 10.6 per cent per year and gross exports to nearly double to RM2.19 trillion in 2015.
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